# Wakefield Trinity v York Knights — Super League Round 25 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Wakefield Trinity v York Knights?

Alphr's Super League model makes Wakefield Trinity a clear 76% favourite over York Knights in Round 25. Predicted result: Wakefield Trinity by 8 in a high-scoring game (43 total). **Confidence: High.** Wakefield Trinity lead on ELO Difference, Halves Control and Rest Days.

_Alphr Super League Model v2026.08.27 · 71.1% head-to-head accuracy across 166 verified predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Wakefield Trinity v York Knights
Sun, 30 Aug, 02:30 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 25

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 76.3%
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +20.5 — model probability 76.3%
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 76.3%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 8 · Predicted total: 43

### Match Overview

The model is firm on Wakefield Trinity here: 76% to see off York Knights. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wakefield Trinity sit 274 ELO points clear, 1593 to 1320. Form leans Wakefield Trinity's way: 2 from their last 5, against 1 for York Knights.

The factors split evenly, which is why the margin stays tight. The margin model has Wakefield Trinity by 8.1, with the two sides combining for about 43. Wakefield Trinity to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 26.8pts | Avg Score | 19.2pts |
| 24.4pts | Avg Conceded | 34.8pts |
| 2.4pts | Avg Margin | -15.6pts |
| 1389.8m | Run Metres | 1061.4m |
| 5.4 | Clean Breaks | 3.8 |
| 314.2 | Tackles | 310.6 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 9.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | R20 W · R21 W · R22 L · R23 L · R24 L | 26.8 |
| York Knights | R20 L · R21 W · R22 L · R23 L · R24 L | 19.2 |

### Common questions

**What's the predicted score?** A high-scoring Wakefield Trinity win, around 26–18 (total ~43).

**Will it be high-scoring?** Likely — the model leans over the market line (model projects 43).

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-27 10:47 UTC (latest tip update)