# Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants — Super League Round 24 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Warrington Wolves 34 – 24 Huddersfield Giants

_Warrington Wolves hunt down Huddersfield Giants._

Half time: 22 – 4 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Warrington Wolves 52% / Huddersfield Giants 48% · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Mon, 24 Aug, 12:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Warrington Wolves: Danny Walker (21' Tipped ⚡), James Bentley (26'), Sam Powell (29'), George Williams (33'), Arron Lindop (53'), Matty Ashton (70' Tipped ⚡) · Huddersfield Giants: Sam Halsall (12' 1st), Sam Halsall (48' 1st), Sam Hewitt (60'), Connor Wrench (63'), Jacob Gagai (76' Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves | 52% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 48% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 1.1 predicted → 10 actual · Markets hit: 3/4

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Warrington Wolves vs Huddersfield Giants Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 24 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 22 Aug 2026, 08:42 am · Last updated: 3 Oct 2026, 08:57 pm_

Warrington Wolves 34–24 Huddersfield Giants in Super League Round 24 at Halliwell Jones Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Huddersfield Giants started strong at Halliwell Jones Stadium, with Sam Halsall scoring early. Despite this promising beginning and maintaining a low error count, they couldn't keep up with Warrington Wolves, losing 34–24. Huddersfield's discipline was evident with only five errors, but that alone wasn't enough to bridge the gap against Warrington's efficient attack.

The Giants managed 21 tackle busts, showing some resilience, but it paled in comparison to Warrington's 32. Huddersfield's offloading was slightly better, with 12 to Warrington's 10, but they struggled to convert these into significant gains. Their five line breaks were dwarfed by Warrington's 11, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in crucial moments.

Defensively, Huddersfield conceded only one more penalty than Warrington, five to four. However, their defence was under constant pressure from a Warrington side adept at finding and exploiting gaps. The Giants' halves were notably weaker, which allowed Warrington to dominate the middle of the park.

Warrington Wolves were clinical. By half-time, they had turned a 4–0 deficit into a 22–4 lead, with tries from Danny Walker, James Bentley, Sam Powell, and George Williams. They were relentless, breaking lines and busting tackles to create scoring opportunities. Leon Hayes was perfect with his conversions, adding crucial points.

After the break, Huddersfield tried to fight back. Sam Halsall scored again in the 48th minute, narrowing the gap to 22–10. Connor Wrench and Jacob Gagai also scored, but it wasn't enough. Huddersfield couldn't match Warrington's first-half scoring spree. Warrington responded to every challenge, with Arron Lindop and Matty Ashton crossing in the second half to secure the win.

Both teams entered the match with strong recent form, each winning four of their last five games. However, the match stats painted a different picture. Warrington dominated the run metres, 1,626 to Huddersfield's 1,211, showcasing their forwards' control. The model's predicted margin of 1.1 was conservative compared to the actual ten-point victory, but Warrington's adaptability on the day was decisive.

Overall, Huddersfield Giants showed potential but lacked the clinical edge that Warrington Wolves displayed. While Huddersfield kept their errors low, Warrington's attacking prowess was the standout. Wins and cleaner play are valuable, but without converting these into points, Huddersfield will continue to fall short. They need to refine their strategy to turn opportunities into points, or they'll risk being outpaced again.

**Key Match Stats**

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| **1,626** | Run metres | 1,211 |
| **11** | Line breaks | 5 |
| **32** | Tackle busts | 21 |
| 10 | Offloads | **12** |
| 8 | Errors | **5** |
| **4** | Penalties conceded | 5 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 5 |
| 5/8 | Goals | 2/5 |
| 4 | Penalties Conceded | 5 |
| 8 | Errors | 5 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Warrington Wolves to win at 52% probability. The predicted margin of 1.1 was reasonable against the actual 10-point result. The model went 6/17 on this match. Huddersfield Giants covered the 14.5-point line. The 1-12 margin band call landed.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (21/100) — penalties Warrington Wolves 4 · Huddersfield Giants 5.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +14.5 — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 1 · Predicted total: 45

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Line ball between Warrington Wolves and Huddersfield Giants. The model can't split them, landing on Warrington Wolves at 52%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Warrington Wolves sit 320 ELO points clear, 1660 to 1340.

The factors split evenly, which is why the margin stays tight. The margin model has Warrington Wolves by 1.1, with the two sides combining for about 45. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 33.2pts | Avg Score | 24.8pts |
| 17.6pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| 15.6pts | Avg Margin | 6.4pts |
| 1388.4m | Run Metres | 1326.2m |
| 6.0 | Clean Breaks | 3.6 |
| 317.0 | Tackles | 312.8 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 8.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves | R20 L · R21 W · R22 W · R23 W · R2 W | 33.2 |
| Huddersfield Giants | R19 L · R20 W · R21 W · R22 W · R23 W | 24.8 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Warrington Wolves lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R10 | Huddersfield Giants | 4 – 34 | Warrington Wolves |
| 2025 | R23 | Huddersfield Giants | 23 – 10 | Warrington Wolves |
| 2025 | R15 | Warrington Wolves | 16 – 24 | Huddersfield Giants |
| 2025 | R1 | Huddersfield Giants | 12 – 20 | Warrington Wolves |
| 2024 | R26 | Huddersfield Giants | 0 – 66 | Warrington Wolves |

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Warrington Wolves' best path is the middle: Super League's 2nd-ranked middle attack (3 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 11th there (2.61 conceded/game). Key man: Ashton, 16 tries in that channel this season.
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the right edge: Super League's 7th-ranked right edge attack (0.96 tries/game) runs at a Warrington Wolves defence ranked 7th there (1.09 conceded/game). Key man: Gagai, 10 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.74/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 0.43/g (def 1st (strong)) | 0.65/g (att 12th (weak)) · concedes 1.13/g (def 7th) |
| Middle | 3/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 1.48/g (def 4th (strong)) | 1.48/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 2.61/g (def 11th (weak)) |
| Right | 0.96/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.09/g (def 7th) | 0.96/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.35/g (def 13th (weak)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 5th (strong) | 12th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 8th | 11th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 13 · 13 | 8 · 21 |
| Try Assists | 1.7/g | 1.1/g |
| Run Metres | 188m/g | 124m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.7/g | 3.7/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.8/g | 0.4/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 90.8% | 88.2% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 12th (weak) | 10th |
| Defence rank | 5th (strong) | 8th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 36 · 39 | 41 · 49 |
| Try Assists | 1/g | 0.7/g |
| Run Metres | 389m/g | 502m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 11.6/g | 14.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.7/g | 2.1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 86.7% | 80.2% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 5th (strong) | 11th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 10th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 16 · 7 | 11 · 17 |
| Try Assists | 0.3/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 307m/g | 320m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5/g | 7/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.8/g | 0.5/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 93.7% | 93.6% |

**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Halfbacks 0.34/g (lg 0.2) +70% · Centres 0.75/g (lg 0.5) +50% · Props 0.21/g (lg 0.14) +50%
**Who scores on Warrington Wolves** — Halfbacks 0.27/g (lg 0.2) +35% · Props 0.18/g (lg 0.14) +29% · Wingers 0.89/g (lg 0.99) -10%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at Halliwell Jones Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Warrington Wolves** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lachlan Webster | FB | 1 in 13g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/4g | 9% | — | — |
| 2 | Albert Hopoate | WG | 14 in 23g | 6/10g (0·1·0·1·0·1·0·1·0·2) | 1/1g | 7/11g | 52% | ⚡ Anytime Try $1.89 AI 40% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $9.00 AI 9% ✗ Not first | — |
| 3 | Arron Lindop | CE | 1 in 4g | 4/10g (1·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/1g | 4/7g | 44% | — | 🏉 53' |
| 4 | Toby King | CE | 8 in 19g | 4/10g (2·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0) | 9/16g | 21/48g | 38% | — | — |
| 5 | Matthew Ashton | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $1.58 AI 49% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $7.00 AI 12% ✗ Not first | 🏉 70' |
| 6 | George Williams | 5/8 | 4 in 9g | 4/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·1·1·0·1) | 5/16g | 13/45g | 28% | — | 🏉 33' |
| 7 | Leon Hayes | HB | 1 in 13g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/14g | 5% | — | — |
| 8 | Liam Byrne | PR | 1 in 22g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/10g | 0/15g | 4% | — | — |
| 9 | Danny Walker | HK | 2 in 23g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/11g | 11/65g | 10% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.60 AI 37% ✓ Scored | 🏉 21' |
| 10 | James Harrison | PR | 3 in 18g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 3/6g | 7/32g | 18% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.25 AI 24% ✗ No try | — |
| 11 | James Bentley | 2R | 3 in 16g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/13g | 4/13g | 14% | — | 🏉 26' |
| 12 | Samuel Stone | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 13 | Ben Currie | LK | 4 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 3/20g | 16/73g | 12% | — | — |
| 14 | Samuel Powell | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 29' |
| 15 | Max Wood | INT | 2 in 15g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/9g | 5% | — | — |
| 16 | Kelepi Tanginoa | INT | 4 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 5/13g | 5/17g | 8% | — | — |
| 17 | Jordan Crowther | INT | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 2/15g | 2/19g | 6% | — | — |

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 8 in 14g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0) | 2/2g | 0/1g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.75 AI 27% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $15.00 AI 10% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Samuel Halsall | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 12' 48' |
| 3 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 10 in 22g | 3/10g (1·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 3/4g | 2/1g | 40% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.00 AI 27% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $17.00 AI 10% ✗ Not first | 🏉 76' |
| 4 | Connor Wrench | CE | 7 in 12g | 6/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·1·1·2·1) | 0/1g | 5/23g | 36% | — | 🏉 63' |
| 5 | Taane Milne | WG | 3 in 19g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·0) | 1/2g | 1/1g | 14% | — | — |
| 6 | Adam Clune | 5/8 | 2 in 7g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 17% | — | — |
| 7 | Tuimoala Lolohea | HB | 1 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 4/14g | 2/7g | 18% | — | — |
| 8 | Fenton Rogers | PR | 1 in 21g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/4g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 2 in 21g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/1g | 6% | — | — |
| 10 | George King | PR | 1 in 22g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/16g | 0/7g | 4% | — | — |
| 11 | Mathieu Cozza | 2R | 0 in 22g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Hewitt | 2R | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/6g | 0/2g | 18% | — | 🏉 60' |
| 13 | Harry Rushton | LK | 0 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/3g | 4% | — | — |
| 14 | Cole Geyer | INT | 2 in 12g | 2/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 18% | ⚡ Anytime Try $7.00 AI 24% ✗ No try | — |
| 15 | Tristan Powell | INT | 1 in 21g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 2% | — | — |
| 16 | Joe Greenwood | INT | 2 in 12g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 4/20g | 0/4g | 16% | — | — |
| 17 | Archie Sykes | INT | no games | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Warrington Wolves 1660 · Huddersfield Giants 1340 · ELO difference: 320 in favour of Warrington Wolves

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 29.5% | Warrington Wolves |
| 2 | Recent Win Rate | 12.3% | Warrington Wolves |
| 3 | Rest Days | 10.6% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 4 | Halves Control | 9.2% | Warrington Wolves |
| 5 | Venue Advantage | 6.4% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Backline Quality | 4.1% | Huddersfield Giants |

**Model Confidence: 52%** — Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 1 points · Predicted total: 45 pts

**Record:** 3/4 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-10-03 10:57 UTC (latest tip update)