# Leigh Leopards v Bradford Bulls — Super League Round 24 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Leigh Leopards 62 – 10 Bradford Bulls

_Leigh Leopards pounce on Bradford Bulls._

Half time: 14 – 4 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Leigh Leopards 86% / Bradford Bulls 14% · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Sat, 22 Aug, 05:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Leigh Leopards: Robbie Mulhern (11' 1st), Louis Brogan (31'), Innes Senior (40' Tipped ⚡), Lachlan Lam (47' Tipped ⚡), Adam Cook (51' Tipped ⚡), Innes Senior (56' Tipped ⚡), Umyla Hanley (63' Tipped ⚡), Joe Ofahengaue (67'), Adam Cook (70' Tipped ⚡), Lachlan Lam (73' Tipped ⚡) · Bradford Bulls: Waqa Blake (26' Tipped ⚡), Eliot Peposhi (77')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Leigh Leopards | 86% | Won |
| Bradford Bulls | 14% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 41.4 predicted → 52 actual · Markets hit: 3/4

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Leigh Leopards vs Bradford Bulls Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 24 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 21 Aug 2026, 09:57 am · Last updated: 3 Oct 2026, 08:57 pm_

Leigh Leopards 62–10 Bradford Bulls in Super League Round 24 at Leigh Sports Village Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Twelve line breaks to four. That's how Leigh Leopards dismantled Bradford Bulls, running out 62–10 winners at Leigh Sports Village Stadium. The Leopards converted those breaks into points with ruthless efficiency. Innes Senior and Lachlan Lam each crossed twice, and Adam Cook joined them in the double-scorer club. By then, the game was well beyond doubt.

The first half was tighter, with Bradford Bulls managing to stay within a ten-point range at the break, 14-4. Robbie Mulhern opened the scoring early, and Adam Cook was solid with the boot, converting reliably. Despite some valiant early efforts, Bradford couldn't hold back the floodgates beyond the initial 40 minutes.

Possession was one-way traffic. Leigh's disciplined play saw them commit only five errors, compared to Bradford's ten, and they kept their penalty count down to just two against Bradford's eight. These stats reflect a side on top physically and mentally. The Leopards seemed several steps ahead, ready to pounce on every opportunity, leaving the Bulls chasing shadows.

Adam Cook was everywhere, not just as a goal kicker. Scoring two tries himself, he was pivotal in orchestrating the flow and capturing the spotlight with the final conversion that cemented the scoreline. Cook's accuracy owed much to the platform laid by his forwards. Leigh's pack may have been rated lower before kick-off, but they delivered when it mattered, contributing 1,756 run metres to Bradford's 874.

Bradford had moments. Waqa Blake’s try in the 26th minute offered a glimmer of hope, while Eliot Peposhi's late score helped their tally into double figures. But those were isolated successes lost in a sea of missed tackles and unforced errors. The Bulls’ inability to maintain possession or construct sustained plays left them floundering against a relentless Leopard attack.

Coming in, Alphr's model gave Leigh an 86% chance of victory, predicting a 41.4-point margin with a combined total of 47. Reality outstripped even those numbers, with the Leopards blowing past predictions to win by a commanding 52-point lead. The total finished at 72, well above expectations. Leigh didn't just cover the market's 22.5-point spread; they obliterated it.

In retrospect, the Bulls' form told part of the tale. They came into this on a five-loss streak, averaging just 10 points a game and conceding a hefty 36.8. Their positional ratings suggested strength in the forwards and hooker, but none of that was evident against a Leigh backline that simply had its way all day. Leigh’s last five had been considerably brighter, netting four wins, and today they looked every bit the dominant outfit their form suggested.

Simply put, Leigh knew where their strengths lay and exploited them mercilessly. Bradford, on the other hand, found little refuge anywhere on the park. In a game that became an exhibition of attacking rugby from the home side, the Leopards left no doubt who was the king of the jungle on the day.

**Key Match Stats**

| Leigh Leopards | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| **1,756** | Run metres | 874 |
| **12** | Line breaks | 4 |
| **38** | Tackle busts | 18 |
| **14** | Offloads | 7 |
| **5** | Errors | 10 |
| **2** | Penalties conceded | 8 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Leigh Leopards | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tries | 2 |
| 11/11 | Goals | 1/2 |
| 2 | Penalties Conceded | 8 |
| 5 | Errors | 10 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Leigh Leopards to win at 86% probability. The predicted margin of 41.4 was reasonable against the actual 52-point result. The game's 72 points came in 25 points higher than the predicted 47. Leigh Leopards led 14–4 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 52. The model went 7/17 on this match. Leigh Leopards covered the 22.5-point line. The 25+ margin band call landed.

**Ref Watch: Questionable** (39/100) — penalties Leigh Leopards 2 · Bradford Bulls 8.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards -22.5 — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 25+ — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 41 · Predicted total: 47

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Leigh Leopards here: 86% to see off Bradford Bulls. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Leigh Leopards sit 385 ELO points clear, 1690 to 1305. Form leans Leigh Leopards' way: 4 from their last 5, against 0 for Bradford Bulls.

Leigh Leopards own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. The margin model has Leigh Leopards by 41.4, with the two sides combining for about 47. Leigh Leopards to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Leigh Leopards | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 22.0pts | Avg Score | 10.0pts |
| 16.8pts | Avg Conceded | 36.8pts |
| 5.2pts | Avg Margin | -26.8pts |
| 1218.8m | Run Metres | 1087.4m |
| 5.4 | Clean Breaks | 1.6 |
| 288.0 | Tackles | 373.8 |
| 8.6 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Leigh Leopards | R19 W · R20 W · R21 L · R22 W · R23 W | 22.0 |
| Bradford Bulls | R19 L · R20 L · R21 L · R22 L · R23 L | 10.0 |

### H2H History (Last 1) — Leigh Leopards lead 1-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R14 | Bradford Bulls | 12 – 38 | Leigh Leopards |

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Leigh Leopards' best path is the left edge: Super League's 1st-ranked left edge attack (1.57 tries/game) runs at a Bradford Bulls defence ranked 11th there (1.43 conceded/game). Key man: Charnley, 24 tries in that channel this season.
- Bradford Bulls' best path is the middle: Super League's 13th-ranked middle attack (1.17 tries/game) runs at a Leigh Leopards defence ranked 8th there (1.87 conceded/game). Key man: Aekins, 5 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Leigh Leopards | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 1.57/g (att 1st (strong)) · concedes 0.48/g (def 2nd (strong)) | 1.09/g (att 6th) · concedes 1.43/g (def 11th (weak)) |
| Middle | 1.35/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.87/g (def 8th) | 1.17/g (att 13th (weak)) · concedes 2.83/g (def 14th (weak)) |
| Right | 1.13/g (att 5th (strong)) · concedes 0.74/g (def 4th (strong)) | 0.57/g (att 13th (weak)) · concedes 1.22/g (def 9th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Leigh Leopards | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 10th | 9th |
| Defence rank | 4th (strong) | 11th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 9 · 11 | 11 · 21 |
| Try Assists | 1.7/g | 0.8/g |
| Run Metres | 123m/g | 134m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 3.5/g | 3.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.7/g | 0.7/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 88.6% | 92.3% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Leigh Leopards | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 11th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 2nd (strong) | 11th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 62 · 32 | 39 · 58 |
| Try Assists | 1.3/g | 0.6/g |
| Run Metres | 507m/g | 507m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 13.6/g | 13.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 3.3/g | 1.6/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 85.6% | 83.5% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Leigh Leopards | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 13th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 3rd (strong) | 12th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 12 · 8 | 10 · 22 |
| Try Assists | 0.3/g | 0.4/g |
| Run Metres | 389m/g | 284m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 7.7/g | 5.1/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.7/g | 0.9/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.7% | 94.2% |

**Who scores on Bradford Bulls** — Locks 0.26/g (lg 0.06) +333% · Hookers 0.26/g (lg 0.11) +136% · Five-Eighths 0.43/g (lg 0.21) +105%
**Who scores on Leigh Leopards** — Locks 0.07/g (lg 0.06) +17% · Halfbacks 0.2/g (lg 0.2) +0% · Fullbacks 0.21/g (lg 0.25) -16%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at Leigh Sports Village Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Leigh Leopards** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Armstrong | FB | 8 in 14g | 7/10g (0·0·0·1·2·2·1·0·1·0) | 0/1g | 5/6g | 46% | ⚡ Anytime Try $1.58 AI 75% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $7.00 AI 14% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Innes Senior | WG | 12 in 23g | 6/10g (1·0·1·0·0·0·1·1·0·2) | 1/1g | 6/10g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime Try $1.67 AI 62% ✓ Scored | 🏉 40' 56' |
| 3 | Andrew Badrock | CE | 1 in 7g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 1/4g | 17% | — | — |
| 4 | Umyla Hanley | CE | 6 in 12g | 6/10g (1·0·0·1·1·1·1·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 3/6g | 40% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.05 AI 67% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $10.00 AI 11% ✗ Not first | 🏉 63' |
| 5 | Josh Charnley | WG | 24 in 20g | 15/10g (1·3·0·3·4·0·2·0·1·1) | 3/1g | 9/9g | 52% | ⚡ Anytime Try $1.50 AI 68% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $6.00 AI 16% ✗ Not first | — |
| 6 | Lachlan Lam | 5/8 | 5 in 22g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 5/10g | 22% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.80 AI 32% ✓ Scored | 🏉 47' 73' |
| 7 | Adam Cook | HB | 3 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/10g | 12% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.25 AI 31% ✓ Scored | 🏉 51' 70' |
| 8 | Isaac Liu | PR | 0 in 22g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/9g | 6% | — | — |
| 9 | Liam Horne | HK | 2 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/10g | 10% | — | — |
| 10 | Robbie Mulhern | PR | 0 in 16g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/6g | 2% | — | 🏉 11' |
| 11 | Jacob Alick-Wiencke | 2R | 6 in 19g | 4/10g (0·1·0·1·0·1·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/8g | 35% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.80 AI 34% ✗ No try | — |
| 12 | Owen Trout | 2R | 1 in 18g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/8g | 16% | — | — |
| 13 | Joe Ofahengaue | LK | 3 in 18g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0) | 0/1g | 2/7g | 20% | — | 🏉 67' |
| 14 | Louis Brogan | INT | 1 in 20g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/9g | 4% | — | 🏉 31' |
| 15 | Jack Ashworth | INT | 2 in 13g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 12% | — | — |
| 16 | Edwin Ipape | INT | 2 in 17g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/7g | 18% | — | — |
| 17 | Matty Davis | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

**Bradford Bulls** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Aekins | FB | 5 in 23g | 3/10g (1·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 24% | — | — |
| 2 | Jayden Okunbor | WG | 0 in 4g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 3 | Waqa Blake | CE | 8 in 16g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·2·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 31% | 🎯 First Try $26.00 AI 12% ✗ Not first | 🏉 26' |
| 4 | Luke Hooley | CE | 2 in 18g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 5 | Ethan Ryan | WG | 13 in 21g | 6/10g (0·1·0·2·0·1·1·0·1·0) | 3/6g | 0/0g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.25 AI 33% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $18.00 AI 18% ✗ Not first | — |
| 6 | Joe Keyes | 5/8 | 0 in 2g | 1/7g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 7 | Christopher Atkin | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | William Gardiner | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 9 | Andy Ackers | HK | 4 in 21g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1) | 2/7g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 10 | Loghan Lewis | PR | 0 in 15g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Dan Russell | 2R | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |
| 12 | Eliot Peposhi | 2R | 1 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 3% | — | 🏉 77' |
| 13 | Joe Mellor | LK | 2 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 0/0g | 18% | — | — |
| 14 | Riley Dean | INT | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 15 | Jamie Gill | INT | 1 in 8g | 1/8g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 13% | — | — |
| 16 | Leon Ruan | INT | 1 in 12g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 17 | Ebon Scurr | INT | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Leigh Leopards 1690 · Bradford Bulls 1305 · ELO difference: 385 in favour of Leigh Leopards

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 43.9% | Leigh Leopards |
| 2 | Backline Quality | 19.6% | Leigh Leopards |
| 3 | Recent Win Rate | 11.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 4 | Rest Days | 8.8% | Leigh Leopards |
| 5 | Venue Advantage | 7.9% | Leigh Leopards |
| 6 | Forward Pack | 3.1% | Bradford Bulls |
| 7 | Halves Control | 2.9% | Bradford Bulls |

**Model Confidence: 86%** — Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 41 points · Predicted total: 47 pts

**Record:** 3/4 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-10-03 10:57 UTC (latest tip update)