# Bradford Bulls v Wigan Warriors — Super League Round 23 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Bradford Bulls v Wigan Warriors?

Alphr's Super League model makes Wigan Warriors a clear 70% favourite over Bradford Bulls in Round 23. Predicted result: Wigan Warriors by 35 in a low-scoring game (50 total, under the 54.5 line). **Confidence: High.** Wigan Warriors lead on Recent Win Rate and ELO Difference.

_Alphr Super League Model v2026.08.13 · 71.1% head-to-head accuracy across 166 verified predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Bradford Bulls v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 16 Aug, 03:30 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 70.2%
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors -23.5 — model probability 70.2%
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 25+ — model probability 70.2%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 35 · Predicted total: 50

### Match Overview

The model is firm on Wigan Warriors here: 70% to see off Bradford Bulls. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wigan Warriors sit 459 ELO points clear, 1771 to 1311. Form leans Wigan Warriors's way: 5 from their last 5, against 1 for Bradford Bulls.

Wigan Warriors own the matchup too, leading 2 of 3 factors including Recent Win Rate and ELO Difference. The margin model has Wigan Warriors by 34.6, with the two sides combining for about 50. Wigan Warriors to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bradford Bulls | Stat | Wigan Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 14.8pts | Avg Score | 32.0pts |
| 32.8pts | Avg Conceded | 14.0pts |
| -18.0pts | Avg Margin | 18.0pts |
| 1072.4m | Run Metres | 1261.8m |
| 2.2 | Clean Breaks | 5.8 |
| 349.4 | Tackles | 293.4 |
| 8.8 | Errors | 9.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford Bulls | R18 W · R19 L · R20 L · R21 L · R22 L | 14.8 |
| Wigan Warriors | R18 W · R19 W · R20 W · R21 W · R22 W | 32.0 |

### Common questions

**What's the predicted score?** A low-scoring Wigan Warriors win, around 43–8 (total ~50 — under the 54.5 line).

**Will it be high-scoring?** Unlikely — the model leans under the 54.5 line (model projects 50).

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-13 22:30 UTC (latest tip update)