# Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers
Sat, 25 July, 05:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 67.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +15.5 — model probability 67.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 67.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 10 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 31.8pts | Avg Score | 22.0pts |
| 11.4pts | Avg Conceded | 28.8pts |
| 20.4pts | Avg Margin | -6.8pts |
| 1452.6m | Run Metres | 1219.8m |
| 7.6 | Clean Breaks | 4.6 |
| 286.2 | Tackles | 307.0 |
| 11.0 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | R15 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 W · R19 W | 31.8 |
| Castleford Tigers | R15 W · R16 L · R17 L · R18 L · R19 W | 22.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-09-03 14:10 UTC (latest tip update)