# Wigan Warriors v Hull FC — Super League Round 2 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Wigan Warriors 34 – 6 Hull FC

_Wigan Warriors run riot over Hull FC._

Half time: 24 – 0 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Wigan Warriors 80% / Hull FC 20% · The Brick Community Stadium · Sun, 22 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT

**Try Scorers** — Wigan Warriors: Sam Walters (4' 1st), Zach Eckersley (8'), Sam Eseh (19'), Jai Field (31'), Bevan French (43'), Jai Field (71') · Hull FC: Harvie Hill (77')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | 80% | Won |
| Hull FC | 20% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 9.6 predicted → 28 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Wigan Warriors vs Hull FC Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 2 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Wigan Warriors 34–6 Hull FC in Super League Round 2 at The Brick Community Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Wigan Warriors overran Hull FC 34–6 at The Brick Community Stadium. Wigan Warriors led 24–0 at half-time and held on.

Sam Walters opened the scoring; Wigan Warriors crossed through Sam Walters, Zach Eckersley, Sam Eseh, Jai Field (2) and Bevan French; Hull FC scored through Harvie Hill.

Wigan Warriors were the cleaner side with the ball, coughing it up just 9 times to 14. Wigan Warriors were sharper in attack, breaking the line 5 times to 2 and busting 50 tackles.

**Key Match Stats**

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| **1,362** | Run metres | 826 |
| **5** | Line breaks | 2 |
| **50** | Tackle busts | 23 |
| **8** | Offloads | 6 |
| **9** | Errors | 14 |
| 8 | Penalties conceded | 8 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 1 |
| 5/6 | Goals | 1/1 |
| 8 | Penalties Conceded | 8 |
| 9 | Errors | 14 |
| 1 | Sin Bins | 1 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Wigan Warriors to win at 80% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 9.6 but the actual margin was 28 points. Total score prediction of 37 was close to the actual 40, within 3 points. The model went 1/2 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (10/100) — penalties Wigan Warriors 8 · Hull FC 8.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 80.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 37

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Wigan Warriors here: 80% to see off Hull FC. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wigan Warriors sit 160 ELO points clear, 1663 to 1503. Form leans Wigan Warriors' way: 4 from their last 5, against 2 for Hull FC.

Wigan Warriors own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Wigan Warriors by 9.6, with the two sides combining for about 37. Wigan Warriors to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 26.8pts | Avg Score | 17.4pts |
| 11.6pts | Avg Conceded | 20.0pts |
| 15.2pts | Avg Margin | -2.6pts |
| 1247.6m | Run Metres | 980.4m |
| 4.2 | Clean Breaks | 3.0 |
| 300.8 | Tackles | 278.0 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 9.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | R1 W | 26.8 |
| Hull FC | R1 W | 17.4 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Wigan Warriors lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R16 | Hull FC | 16 – 20 | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 79% ✓ |
| 2025 | R19 | Wigan Warriors | 12 – 32 | Hull FC | not priced |
| 2025 | R9 | Hull FC | 12 – 36 | Wigan Warriors | not priced |
| 2025 | R2 | Hull FC | 4 – 46 | Wigan Warriors | not priced |
| 2024 | R23 | Wigan Warriors | 22 – 4 | Hull FC | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Wigan Warriors' best path is the middle: Super League's 1st-ranked middle attack (2.41 tries/game) runs at a Hull FC defence ranked 7th there (1.3 conceded/game). Key man: Field, 24 tries in that channel this season.
- Hull FC's best path is the left edge: Super League's 2nd-ranked left edge attack (1.52 tries/game) runs at a Wigan Warriors defence ranked 7th there (0.76 conceded/game). Key man: Martin, 25 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Wigan Warriors | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 1.38/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0.76/g (def 7th) | 1.52/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 0.74/g (def 6th) |
| Middle | 2.41/g (att 1st (strong)) · concedes 0.79/g (def 3rd (strong)) | 1.11/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.3/g (def 7th) |
| Right | 1.14/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0.41/g (def 1st (strong)) | 0.85/g (att 8th) · concedes 0.63/g (def 5th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 7th |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 7th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 29 · 8 | 12 · 13 |
| Try Assists | 1.7/g | 1.3/g |
| Run Metres | 138m/g | 142m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5.9/g | 5.5/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.7/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 88.3% | 88.8% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 1st (strong) | 5th |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 6th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 87 · 27 | 56 · 42 |
| Try Assists | 2.1/g | 0.6/g |
| Run Metres | 506m/g | 403m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 14.7/g | 11.5/g |
| Line Breaks | 3.6/g | 1.9/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 83.8% | 80.2% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Hull FC |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 6th | 4th (strong) |
| Defence rank | 6th | 5th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 15 · 13 | 17 · 8 |
| Try Assists | 0.3/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 346m/g | 341m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 9.2/g | 10.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.5/g | 0.7/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 93.8% | 91.5% |

**Who scores on Hull FC** — Fullbacks 0.31/g (lg 0.23) +35% · Five-Eighths 0.26/g (lg 0.2) +30% · Hookers 0.12/g (lg 0.11) +9%
**Who scores on Wigan Warriors** — Props 0.12/g (lg 0.14) -14% · 2nd Rows 0.21/g (lg 0.29) -28% · Halfbacks 0.13/g (lg 0.18) -28%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Brick Community Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Wigan Warriors** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jai Field | FB | 0 in 1g | 6/10g (0·0·1·2·1·2·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 37/47g | 50% | — | 🏉 31' 71' |
| 2 | Zach Eckersley | WG | 2 in 1g | 9/10g (0·0·1·1·0·2·2·0·1·2) | 0/0g | 11/23g | 46% | — | 🏉 8' |
| 3 | Adam Keighran | CE | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 7/23g | 28% | — | — |
| 4 | Liam Farrell | CE | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 21/61g | 10% | — | — |
| 5 | Liam Marshall | WG | 1 in 1g | 8/10g (0·0·1·3·1·2·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 48/63g | 48% | — | — |
| 6 | Bevan French | 5/8 | 1 in 1g | 6/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·2·2·0·1) | 0/0g | 52/47g | 56% | — | 🏉 43' |
| 7 | Harry Smith | HB | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 12/63g | 10% | — | — |
| 8 | Ethan Havard | PR | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 6/45g | 6% | — | — |
| 8 | Joseph Havard | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 9 | Bradley O'neill | HK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 10 | Luke Thompson | PR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/20g | 4% | — | — |
| 11 | Junior Nsemba | 2R | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 7/33g | 22% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Walters | 2R | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 5/22g | 16% | — | 🏉 4' |
| 13 | Kaide Ellis | LK | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 4/48g | 4% | — | — |
| 14 | Patrick Mago | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/11g | 3% | — | — |
| 15 | Oliver Partington | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/24g | 4% | — | — |
| 16 | Samuel Eseh | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 19' |
| 17 | Thomas Forber | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

**Hull FC** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Pryce | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 1 | Will Pryce | FB | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·2·0·0·0) | 2/5g | 0/2g | 26% | — | — |
| 2 | Harvey Barron | WG | 1 in 1g | 7/10g (0·0·0·2·1·0·0·1·2·1) | 1/5g | 0/2g | 44% | — | — |
| 3 | Arthur Romano | CE | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 4/10g | 1/3g | 16% | — | — |
| 4 | Davy Litten | CE | 1 in 1g | 4/10g (0·0·2·0·1·0·0·0·0·1) | 1/3g | 0/1g | 26% | — | — |
| 5 | Lewis Martin | WG | 0 in 1g | 12/10g (0·3·4·1·1·0·0·1·2·0) | 1/5g | 0/2g | 58% | — | — |
| 6 | Cade Cust | 5/8 | 1 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/4g | 4/23g | 20% | — | — |
| 7 | Aidan Sezer | HB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/6g | 1/3g | 12% | — | — |
| 8 | Liam Knight | PR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | Amir Bourouh | HK | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/6g | 6% | — | — |
| 10 | Harvie Hill | PR | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/30g | 6% | — | 🏉 77' |
| 11 | Joe Batchelor | 2R | 1 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 4/10g | 1/3g | 16% | — | — |
| 12 | Jed Cartwright | 2R | no games | 5/10g (0·1·0·0·0·2·0·2·0·0) | 2/1g | 2/1g | 30% | — | — |
| 13 | Yusuf Aydin | LK | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/12g | 0/5g | 0% | — | — |
| 14 | Callum Kemp | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/4g (0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 15 | Brad Fash | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/12g | 0/6g | 2% | — | — |
| 16 | Sam Lisone | INT | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/3g | 14% | — | — |
| 17 | Connor Bailey | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/5g (0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Wigan Warriors 1663 · Hull FC 1503 · ELO difference: 160 in favour of Wigan Warriors

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Hull FC |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Wigan Warriors |

**Model Confidence: 80%** — Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 10 points · Predicted total: 37 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)