# Toulouse Olympique v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 2 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Toulouse Olympique v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 22 Feb, 05:00 am AEDT · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 2

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Toulouse Olympique to win — model probability 70.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique — model probability 70.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Toulouse Olympique 1-12 — model probability 70.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 0 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Toulouse Olympique | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 18.0pts | Avg Score | 15.6pts |
| 16.0pts | Avg Conceded | 36.4pts |
| 2.0pts | Avg Margin | -20.8pts |
| 1310.0m | Run Metres | 663.0m |
| 7.0 | Clean Breaks | 3.0 |
| 303.0 | Tackles | 234.0 |
| 9.0 | Errors | 7.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse Olympique | R1 W | 18.0 |
| Castleford Tigers | R24 L · R25 W · R26 L · R27 L · R1 L | 15.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)