St Helens
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
St Helens
41%
Leigh Leopards
59%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards hold the advantage at 59% win probability, though St Helens are far from out of this at 41%. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 104-point ELO rating advantage (1636 vs 1532). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for St Helens. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 9.9 points with a combined total of 36.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.69
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -9.9 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R1L older → newer | 15.6 |
Leigh Leopards | R1W | 23.2 |
Avg Conceded
22.0
St Helens
13.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-6.4
St Helens
9.6
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1055
St Helens
1285
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
3.0
St Helens
4.8
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
59%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 36 · Line: -9.9