Leeds Rhinos
York Knights
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
72%
York Knights
28%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over York Knights. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 28-point ELO rating advantage (1557 vs 1529). The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 9.6 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.39
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +9.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R1L older → newer | 13.6 |
York Knights | R1W | 19.0 |
Avg Conceded
16.0
Leeds Rhinos
18.0
York Knights
Avg Margin
-2.4
Leeds Rhinos
1.0
York Knights
Run Metres
1259
Leeds Rhinos
1059
York Knights
Clean Breaks
3.4
Leeds Rhinos
2.0
York Knights
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
72%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +9.6