Skip to main content

Super League | Round 2

alphr.com.au

VENUE: POSTPONED • FRIDAY 20 FEB, 11:00 AM AEDT

AI Win Probability

69%Hull KRFavourite

Hull KR

69%

Warrington Wolves

31%

AI Match Overview

Hull KR are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Hull KR carry a 145-point ELO rating advantage (1753 vs 1609). Recent form favours Hull KR with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 4 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 5.1 points with a combined total of 29.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Hull KR to Win @1.46

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Warrington Wolves -5.1 @1.91

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Under 40.5 @1.91

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Hull KR
R1L

older → newer

45.2
Warrington Wolves
R1W
25.8

Avg Conceded

7.6

Hull KR

15.2

Warrington Wolves

Avg Margin

37.6

Hull KR

10.6

Warrington Wolves

Run Metres

1542

Hull KR

1316

Warrington Wolves

Clean Breaks

7.2

Hull KR

7.4

Warrington Wolves

H2H History (Last 5)Hull KR lead 4-1
Sep 2025HKR 28 - 20 WAR
May 2025HKR 31 - 12 WAR
Feb 2024HKR 10 - 8 WAR
Feb 2024HKR 8 - 20 WAR
Jul 2024HKR 22 - 4 WAR
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HKR
1753Overall1609
WAR
ELO difference: +145 in favour of Hull KR

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

1000Forwards1000
Best: 1000EvenBest: 1000
1000Backs1000
Best: 1000EvenBest: 1000
1000Halves1000
Best: 1000EvenBest: 1000
1000Hooker1000
Even

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HKR
Stat
WAR
5.0
Wins (Last 5)
4.0
45.2pts
Avg Score
25.8pts
7.6pts
Avg Conceded
15.2pts
37.6pts
Avg Margin
10.6pts
1542.2m
Run Metres
1316.2m
7.2
Clean Breaks
7.4
296.8
Tackles
321.6
8.8
Errors
9.4

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
KR
2
Forward Pack12.0%
KR
3
Backline Quality10.0%
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
KR
5
Halves Control9.0%
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
KR

Model Confidence

69%

Hull KR predicted to win by 5 points

Predicted total: 29 · Line: -5.1