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Super League | Round 2

alphr.com.au

THE ACCU STADIUM • SUNDAY 22 FEB, 11:00 AM AEDT
Full Time
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

1618
WAK

Wakefield Trinity

✅ Model correct — backed Wakefield Trinity at 52%

AI Win Probability

52%Wakefield TrinityFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

48%

Wakefield Trinity

52%

AI Match Overview

This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Wakefield Trinity a marginal 52% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wakefield Trinity carry a 127-point ELO rating advantage (1500 vs 1373). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 1.1 points with a combined total of 45.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.92

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Wakefield Trinity -1.1 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R1L

older → newer

10.0
Wakefield Trinity
R1L
25.6

Avg Conceded

27.6

Huddersfield Giants

19.6

Wakefield Trinity

Avg Margin

-17.6

Huddersfield Giants

6.0

Wakefield Trinity

Run Metres

831

Huddersfield Giants

1209

Wakefield Trinity

Clean Breaks

2.4

Huddersfield Giants

5.0

Wakefield Trinity

H2H History (Last 5)Huddersfield Giants lead 3-2
Aug 2025HUD 2 - 48 WAK
Jul 2025HUD 10 - 46 WAK
Jul 2023HUD 34 - 6 WAK
Mar 2023HUD 8 - 0 WAK
Sep 2022HUD 16 - 14 WAK
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1373Overall1500
WAK
ELO difference: -127 in favour of Wakefield Trinity

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

738Forwards892
Best: 913WAK +154Best: 1106
793Backs830
Best: 921WAK +38Best: 961
1000Halves624
Best: 1000HUD +376Best: 624
902Hooker953
WAK +51

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
WAK
1.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
10.0pts
Avg Score
25.6pts
27.6pts
Avg Conceded
19.6pts
-17.6pts
Avg Margin
6.0pts
830.6m
Run Metres
1208.8m
2.4
Clean Breaks
5.0
321.8
Tackles
325.6
8.8
Errors
10.8

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Trinity
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Trinity
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Trinity
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Trinity
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
Trinity

Model Confidence

52%

Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 1 points

Predicted total: 45 · Line: -1.1

3/4 match predictions correct