# Huddersfield Giants v Wakefield Trinity — Super League Round 2 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 16 – 18 Wakefield Trinity

_Wakefield Trinity see off Huddersfield Giants in a tight one._

Half time: 4 – 8 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 48% / Wakefield Trinity 52% · The Accu Stadium · Mon, 23 Feb, 02:00 am AEDT

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: Sam Halsall (23'), George Flanagan (67'), George Flanagan (69') · Wakefield Trinity: Cameron Scott (12' 1st), Lachlan Walmsley (32'), Lachlan Walmsley (54'), Seth Nikotemo (62')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | 52% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 48% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 1.1 predicted → 2 actual · Markets hit: 2/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs Wakefield Trinity Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 2 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 16–18 Wakefield Trinity in Super League Round 2 at The Accu Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Wakefield Trinity beat Huddersfield Giants 18-16 at The Accu Stadium. Look at the run metres though and it barely adds up: 1,288 to 1,282, next to nothing in it. This wasn't a game won by dominating the paddock. It was won in bursts.

Cameron Scott opened it up in the 12th minute, Sam Halsall levelled things at 4-4 in the 23rd, and then Lachlan Walmsley put Wakefield back in front in the 32nd. That's how it sat at the break, Wakefield 8, Huddersfield 4, a lead built on efficiency rather than field position.

The Giants had no answer for a while after that. Walmsley crossed again in the 54th for his second, Seth Nikotemo added another in the 62nd, and Max Jowitt's conversion a minute later made it 4-18. Fourteen points clear with under twenty to go.

Then George Flanagan happened. He scored in the 67th and converted his own try, then scored again in the 69th and converted that one too. Sixteen minutes turned a laugher into a two-point squeaker, 16-18, with Huddersfield somehow alive. They just ran out of time to find one more set.

The stat sheet explains why it stayed tight rather than blowing out either way. Wakefield were the cleaner side with ball in hand, coughing it up seven times to nine, and their 15 offloads to Huddersfield's 10 point to a side finding easier metres after contact. Huddersfield hit back with more line breaks, 5 to 4, and more tackle busts, 41 to 39, but gave away the extra penalty, 5 conceded to 6. Small margins, and in an 18-16 game every one of them counts.

The positional ratings going in tell you where the platform came from.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| 1,282 | Run metres | **1,288** |
| **5** | Line breaks | 4 |
| **41** | Tackle busts | 39 |
| 10 | Offloads | **15** |
| 9 | Errors | **7** |
| **5** | Penalties conceded | 6 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 4 |
| 2/3 | Goals | 1/4 |
| 5 | Penalties Conceded | 6 |
| 9 | Errors | 7 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Wakefield Trinity to win at 52% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Wakefield Trinity by 1.1 vs the actual margin of 2 points. A clean sweep, all 2 model picks hit for this match.

**Ref Watch: Questionable** (36/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 5 · Wakefield Trinity 6.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 52.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 1 · Predicted total: 45

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Line ball between Huddersfield Giants and Wakefield Trinity. The model can't split them, landing on Wakefield Trinity at 52%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wakefield Trinity sit 127 ELO points clear, 1500 to 1373. Form leans Wakefield Trinity's way: 2 from their last 5, against 1 for Huddersfield Giants.

Wakefield Trinity own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Wakefield Trinity by 1.1, with the two sides combining for about 45. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 10.0pts | Avg Score | 25.6pts |
| 27.6pts | Avg Conceded | 19.6pts |
| -17.6pts | Avg Margin | 6.0pts |
| 831.8m | Run Metres | 1209.8m |
| 2.4 | Clean Breaks | 5.0 |
| 321.8 | Tackles | 325.6 |
| 8.8 | Errors | 10.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R1 L | 10.0 |
| Wakefield Trinity | R1 L | 25.6 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Wakefield Trinity lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R16 | Wakefield Trinity | 29 – 23 | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity 87% ✓ |
| 2025 | R24 | Wakefield Trinity | 48 – 2 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2025 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 10 – 46 | Wakefield Trinity | not priced |
| 2023 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 34 – 6 | Wakefield Trinity | not priced |
| 2023 | R3 | Wakefield Trinity | 0 – 8 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the right edge: Super League's 10th-ranked right edge attack (0.44 tries/game) runs at a Wakefield Trinity defence ranked 9th there (1 conceded/game). Key man: Swift, 4 tries in that channel this season.
- Wakefield Trinity's best path is the middle: Super League's 3rd-ranked middle attack (2 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 10th there (2.04 conceded/game). Key man: Jowitt, 13 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.48/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 1.44/g (def 10th (weak)) | 0.64/g (att 9th (weak)) · concedes 0.68/g (def 5th) |
| Middle | 0.96/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.04/g (def 10th (weak)) | 2/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 1/g (def 5th) |
| Right | 0.44/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 0.89/g (def 8th) | 1.11/g (att 5th) · concedes 1/g (def 9th (weak)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 11th (weak) | 3rd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 4th (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 4 · 20 | 17 · 9 |
| Try Assists | 0.6/g | 1.8/g |
| Run Metres | 68m/g | 98m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.3/g | 2.6/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 0.4/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 89.8% | 88.7% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 9th (weak) | 7th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 7th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 29 · 66 | 52 · 52 |
| Try Assists | 0.5/g | 0.8/g |
| Run Metres | 359m/g | 418m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 11.7/g | 12.1/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.3/g | 2.1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 80.1% | 83.5% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 9th (weak) | 2nd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 11th (weak) | 2nd (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 7 · 20 | 24 · 7 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.5/g |
| Run Metres | 188m/g | 329m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.9/g | 6.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.9% | 94.6% |

**Who scores on Wakefield Trinity** — Locks 0.07/g (lg 0.05) +40% · Fullbacks 0.29/g (lg 0.23) +26% · Wingers 1.11/g (lg 0.96) +16%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Centres 0.64/g (lg 0.46) +39% · Halfbacks 0.25/g (lg 0.18) +39% · Props 0.19/g (lg 0.14) +36%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Accu Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 1 in 1g | 6/10g (0·1·2·0·2·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 38% | — | 🏉 67' 69' |
| 2 | Samuel Halsall | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 23' |
| 3 | Taane Milne | CE | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 9% | — | — |
| 4 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 0 in 1g | 4/10g (1·0·1·0·1·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/2g | 0/0g | 39% | — | — |
| 5 | Connor Carr | WG | no games | 0/4g (0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 6 | Olly Russell | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 6 | Oliver Russell | 5/8 | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (2·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/8g | 0/0g | 4% | — | — |
| 7 | Tuimoala Lolohea | HB | 0 in 1g | 4/10g (0·0·0·0·0·2·1·0·1·0) | 4/9g | 0/0g | 26% | — | — |
| 7 | Tui Lolohea | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | Chris Patolo | PR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Fenton Rogers | PR | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 11 | Asher O'Donnell | 2R | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Hewitt | 2R | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 13 | Tristan Powell | LK | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 14 | Kieran Rush | INT | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 15 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 16 | George King | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/13g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |
| 17 | Mathieu Cozza | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

**Wakefield Trinity** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Jowitt | FB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 2/13g | 0/0g | 34% | — | — |
| 2 | Oliver Pratt | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 3 | Cameron Scott | CE | 1 in 1g | 7/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·1·3·1·1) | 2/7g | 0/0g | 34% | — | 🏉 12' |
| 4 | Corey Hall | CE | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·1·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/6g | 0/0g | 18% | — | — |
| 5 | Lachlan Walmsley | WG | no games | 5/10g (0·0·2·0·1·1·1·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 39% | — | 🏉 32' 54' |
| 6 | Jake Trueman | 5/8 | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 5/11g | 0/0g | 16% | — | — |
| 7 | Jack Sinfield | HB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/0g | 9% | — | — |
| 8 | Mike McMeeken | PR | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 7/17g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 9 | Tyson Smoothy | HK | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Caleb Hamiln-Uele | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 11 | Seth Nikotemo | 2R | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 17% | — | 🏉 62' |
| 12 | Isaiah Vagana | 2R | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 13 | Jay Pitts | LK | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/10g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |
| 14 | Ky Rodwell | INT | no games | 1/8g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 13% | — | — |
| 15 | Matty Storton | INT | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/8g | 0/0g | 8% | — | — |
| 16 | Jazz Tevaga | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 17 | Harvey Smith | INT | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/2g | 0/0g | 13% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1373 · Wakefield Trinity 1500 · ELO difference: 127 in favour of Wakefield Trinity

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | — |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Wakefield Trinity |

**Model Confidence: 52%** — Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 1 points · Predicted total: 45 pts

**Record:** 2/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)