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Super League | Round 2

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BARTERCARD ODSAL STADIUM • FRIDAY 20 FEB, 11:00 AM AEDT
Full Time
BRD

Bradford Bulls

2810
CAT

Catalans Dragons

✅ Model correct — backed Bradford Bulls at 65%

AI Win Probability

65%Bradford BullsFavourite

Bradford Bulls

65%

Catalans Dragons

35%

AI Match Overview

Bradford Bulls are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Bradford Bulls. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 1.2 points with a combined total of 39.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Bradford Bulls to Win @1.55

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Catalans Dragons -1.2 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Under 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Bradford Bulls
R1L

older → newer

20.0
Catalans Dragons
R1W
17.8

Avg Conceded

27.0

Bradford Bulls

19.2

Catalans Dragons

Avg Margin

-7.0

Bradford Bulls

-1.4

Catalans Dragons

Run Metres

1185

Bradford Bulls

853

Catalans Dragons

Clean Breaks

5.0

Bradford Bulls

2.6

Catalans Dragons

Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

BRD
1473Overall1472
CAT
ELO difference: +1 in favour of Bradford Bulls

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

802Forwards814
Best: 1149CAT +12Best: 1112
1082Backs1055
Best: 1311BRD +28Best: 1275
751Halves1075
Best: 751CAT +323Best: 1075
669Hooker600
BRD +69

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

BRD
Stat
CAT
0.0
Wins (Last 5)
4.0
20.0pts
Avg Score
17.8pts
27.0pts
Avg Conceded
19.2pts
-7.0pts
Avg Margin
-1.4pts
1185.0m
Run Metres
852.8m
5.0
Clean Breaks
2.6
314.0
Tackles
219.6
13.0
Errors
6.8

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Bulls
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Bulls
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Dragons
5
Halves Control9.0%
Dragons
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%

Model Confidence

65%

Bradford Bulls predicted to win by 1 points

Predicted total: 39 · Line: -1.2

2/4 match predictions correct