# Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos — Super League Round 19 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos
Mon, 20 July, 12:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 19

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 69.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +20.5 — model probability 69.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 69.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 10 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 38.8pts |
| 28.8pts | Avg Conceded | 12.0pts |
| -8.4pts | Avg Margin | 26.8pts |
| 1263.2m | Run Metres | 1397.0m |
| 4.2 | Clean Breaks | 6.0 |
| 322.8 | Tackles | 260.4 |
| 10.6 | Errors | 12.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R14 L · R15 W · R16 L · R17 L · R18 L | 20.4 |
| Leeds Rhinos | R14 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 W | 38.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-26 17:11 UTC (latest tip update)