# Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 05 July, 09:30 pm AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 50.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +14.5 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 3 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 24.6pts | Avg Score | 24.4pts |
| 24.6pts | Avg Conceded | 21.2pts |
| 0.0pts | Avg Margin | 3.2pts |
| 1274.0m | Run Metres | 1512.4m |
| 5.8 | Clean Breaks | 4.8 |
| 291.8 | Tackles | 317.8 |
| 9.2 | Errors | 8.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | R12 W · R13 W · R14 L · R15 W · R16 W | 24.6 |
| Castleford Tigers | R12 W · R13 L · R14 L · R15 W · R16 L | 24.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC (latest tip update)