# Catalans Dragons v Toulouse Olympique — Super League Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Catalans Dragons v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 05 July, 06:00 am AEST · Stade Pierre-Fabre, Castres · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +12.5 — model probability 64.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 6 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Catalans Dragons | Stat | Toulouse Olympique |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 27.2pts | Avg Score | 22.4pts |
| 26.4pts | Avg Conceded | 32.4pts |
| 0.8pts | Avg Margin | -10.0pts |
| 1204.8m | Run Metres | 1111.4m |
| 5.2 | Clean Breaks | 5.2 |
| 306.2 | Tackles | 316.4 |
| 9.8 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Catalans Dragons | R12 W · R13 L · R14 W · R15 W · R16 L | 27.2 |
| Toulouse Olympique | R12 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L | 22.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-20 16:26 UTC (latest tip update)