# Castleford Tigers v York Knights — Super League Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v York Knights
Sat, 27 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +16.5 — model probability 56.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 1 · Predicted total: 37

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 26.4pts | Avg Score | 17.2pts |
| 20.8pts | Avg Conceded | 40.0pts |
| 5.6pts | Avg Margin | -22.8pts |
| 1520.4m | Run Metres | 1150.0m |
| 5.6 | Clean Breaks | 3.6 |
| 312.0 | Tackles | 284.0 |
| 8.2 | Errors | 10.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R11 W · R12 W · R13 L · R14 L · R15 W | 26.4 |
| York Knights | R11 L · R12 L · R13 L · R14 L · R15 L | 17.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-20 16:26 UTC (latest tip update)