# Castleford Tigers v Toulouse Olympique — Super League Round 15 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 21 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 15

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +12.5 — model probability 56.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 56.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 2 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Toulouse Olympique |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 21.2pts |
| 27.2pts | Avg Conceded | 22.8pts |
| -6.8pts | Avg Margin | -1.6pts |
| 1347.3m | Run Metres | 1206.8m |
| 4.3 | Clean Breaks | 4.5 |
| 324.3 | Tackles | 331.0 |
| 8.0 | Errors | 11.5 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L · R14 L | 20.4 |
| Toulouse Olympique | R10 W · R11 L · R12 L · R13 W · R14 L | 21.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-20 10:41 UTC (latest tip update)