AI Win Probability
St Helens
50%
Warrington Wolves
50%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives St Helens a marginal 50% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. Warrington Wolves are stronger on paper across 3 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but St Helens counter with Forward Pack and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Warrington Wolves carry a 34-point ELO rating advantage (1515 vs 1481). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for St Helens.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R9W R10W R11W R12L R13L older → newer | 27.1 |
Warrington Wolves | R9W R10W R11W R12W R13W | 22.0 |
Avg Conceded
26.8
St Helens
16.3
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
-5.4
St Helens
3.7
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1297
St Helens
1283
Warrington Wolves
Line Breaks
3.6
St Helens
5.3
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
50%
St Helens predicted to win by 0 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: 0.0