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Super League | Round 14

alphr.com.au

HUL
Hull FC
VS
HUD
Huddersfield Giants
VENUE: MKM STADIUM • SUNDAY 14 JUNE, 12:00 AM AEST

AI Win Probability

50%Hull FCFavourite

Hull FC

50%

Huddersfield Giants

50%

AI Match Overview

This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Hull FC a marginal 50% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. Huddersfield Giants are stronger on paper across 3 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but Hull FC counter with Forward Pack and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Huddersfield Giants carry a 32-point ELO rating advantage (1523 vs 1491). Recent form favours Hull FC with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Huddersfield Giants.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Hull FC
R9W
R10L
R11L
R12L
R13L

older → newer

29.2
Huddersfield Giants
R9L
R10L
R11L
R12L
R13L
18.1

Avg Conceded

15.3

Hull FC

24.6

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

-6.4

Hull FC

5.4

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1386

Hull FC

1554

Huddersfield Giants

Line Breaks

6.3

Hull FC

3.1

Huddersfield Giants

Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUL
1491Overall1523
HUD
ELO difference: -32 in favour of Huddersfield Giants

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

1021Forwards1009
HUL +12
1037Backs1070
HUD +33
971Halves997
HUD +26
982Hooker1025
HUD +44

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUL
Stat
HUD
1.6
Wins (Last 5)
1.2
29.2pts
Avg Score
18.1pts
15.3pts
Avg Conceded
24.6pts
-6.4pts
Avg Margin
5.4pts
1385.9m
Run Metres
1554.2m
6.3
Line Breaks
3.1

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference14.0%
Giants
2
Forward Pack12.0%
FC
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
5
Recent Win Rate9.0%
6
Venue Advantage7.0%
FC
7
H2H History6.0%

Model Confidence

50%

Hull FC predicted to win by 0 points

Predicted total: 42 · Line: 0.0