# Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 14 June, 03:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +11.5 — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 2 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Catalans Dragons | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 16.8pts | Avg Score | 16.8pts |
| 39.8pts | Avg Conceded | 30.4pts |
| -23.0pts | Avg Margin | -13.6pts |
| 985.2m | Run Metres | 1240.4m |
| 4.2 | Clean Breaks | 3.8 |
| 324.4 | Tackles | 323.2 |
| 10.0 | Errors | 8.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Catalans Dragons | R9 L · R10 L · R11 L · R12 W · R13 L | 16.8 |
| Castleford Tigers | R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L | 16.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)