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Super League | Round 13

alphr.com.au

VENUE: THE DIY KITCHENS STADIUM • SUNDAY 7 JUNE, 1:30 AM AEST

AI Win Probability

79%Hull KRFavourite

Wakefield Trinity

21%

Hull KR

79%

AI Match Overview

Hull KR are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Hull KR carry a 145-point ELO rating advantage (1753 vs 1608). Recent form favours Hull KR with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 5.5 points with a combined total of 37.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

1 ACTIVE EDGE

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Hull KR to Win @1.78

Edge

+22.8%

Line / Spread

Hull KR -5.5 @1.91

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Hull KR 1-12 @3.30

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Under 40.5 @1.91

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Wakefield Trinity
R8W
R9L
R10L
R11W
R12W

older → newer

33.2
Hull KR
R8W
R9W
R10W
R11W
R12W
45.2

Avg Conceded

19.6

Wakefield Trinity

7.6

Hull KR

Avg Margin

13.6

Wakefield Trinity

37.6

Hull KR

Run Metres

1288

Wakefield Trinity

1542

Hull KR

Clean Breaks

7.2

Wakefield Trinity

7.2

Hull KR

H2H History (Last 5)Hull KR lead 4-1
Sep 2025WAK 28 - 12 HKR
Jun 2025WAK 10 - 34 HKR
Mar 2025WAK 12 - 14 HKR
Sep 2023WAK 12 - 56 HKR
Jun 2023WAK 12 - 28 HKR
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WAK
1608Overall1753
HKR
ELO difference: -145 in favour of Hull KR

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

898Forwards1023
Best: 1152HKR +125Best: 1316
707Backs1134
Best: 778HKR +427Best: 1449
864Halves937
Best: 864HKR +73Best: 937
1120Hooker708
WAK +412

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WAK
Stat
HKR
3.0
Wins (Last 5)
5.0
33.2pts
Avg Score
45.2pts
19.6pts
Avg Conceded
7.6pts
13.6pts
Avg Margin
37.6pts
1287.6m
Run Metres
1542.2m
7.2
Clean Breaks
7.2
299.2
Tackles
296.8
10.8
Errors
8.8

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
KR
2
Forward Pack12.0%
KR
3
Backline Quality10.0%
KR
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
KR
5
Halves Control9.0%
KR
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
KR

Model Confidence

79%

Hull KR predicted to win by 5 points

Predicted total: 37 · Line: -5.5