# Castleford Tigers v Leigh Leopards — Super League Round 13 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Leigh Leopards
Sat, 06 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 13

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 75.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +7.5 — model probability 75.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 75.0% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 5 · Predicted total: 36

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 18.8pts | Avg Score | 27.8pts |
| 28.4pts | Avg Conceded | 13.2pts |
| -9.6pts | Avg Margin | 14.6pts |
| 1140.4m | Run Metres | 1375.0m |
| 3.8 | Clean Breaks | 7.2 |
| 311.0 | Tackles | 288.2 |
| 8.4 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R8 W · R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W | 18.8 |
| Leigh Leopards | R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R12 W | 27.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)