Toulouse Olympique
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Toulouse Olympique
41%
Wakefield Trinity
59%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity hold the advantage at 59% win probability, though Toulouse Olympique are far from out of this at 41%. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wakefield Trinity carry a 238-point ELO rating advantage (1599 vs 1361). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Toulouse Olympique. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 5.7 points with a combined total of 48.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.70
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity -5.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Toulouse Olympique | R7L R8L R9L R10W R11L older → newer | 13.6 |
Wakefield Trinity | R7W R8W R9L R10L R11W | 35.6 |
Avg Conceded
29.0
Toulouse Olympique
16.0
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
-15.4
Toulouse Olympique
19.6
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1161
Toulouse Olympique
1375
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
3.4
Toulouse Olympique
8.4
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
59%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 48 · Line: -5.7