# Leeds Rhinos v Huddersfield Giants — Super League Round 12 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Leeds Rhinos 52 – 0 Huddersfield Giants

_Leeds Rhinos put Huddersfield Giants to the sword._

Half time: 24 – 0 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Leeds Rhinos 83% / Huddersfield Giants 17% · AMT Headingley Stadium · Sat, 23 May, 05:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Leeds Rhinos: Mikolaj Oledzki (5' 1st), Harry Newman (7'), Ryan Hall (24'), Brodie Croft (28'), Maika Sivo (48'), Harry Newman (57'), James McDonnell (64'), Mikolaj Oledzki (71' 1st), Chris Hankinson (77') · Huddersfield Giants: none

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos | 83% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 17% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 17.6 predicted → 52 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Leeds Rhinos vs Huddersfield Giants Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 12 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Leeds Rhinos 52–0 Huddersfield Giants in Super League Round 12 at AMT Headingley Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Four minutes was all it took for this to stop being a contest. Mikolaj Oledzki crossed inside five, Harry Newman followed two minutes later, and by the ninth minute Leeds Rhinos were out to 12-0 without Huddersfield Giants laying a glove on the board. From there it was just a question of how bad.

The Giants never got within touching distance. Ryan Hall stretched it to 16 just after the half-hour mark, Brodie Croft made it 22 soon after, and Leeds Rhinos went to the break at 24-0 having scored four tries to none. That's not a lead you claw back from, and Huddersfield Giants didn't try to pretend otherwise. The scoreboard pressure was total from the opening exchanges.

The second half was supposed to be where a beaten side finds something. Instead Leeds Rhinos found more. Maika Sivo scored in the 48th minute, Newman got his second in the 57th, James McDonnell and a second try to Oledzki followed, and Chris Hankinson put the gloss on it in the 77th. Seven different names on the scoresheet, Oledzki and Newman doing it twice each. Jake Connor didn't miss a conversion all night.

The stat sheet just confirms what the scoreline already screamed. Leeds Rhinos ran for 1,504 metres to Huddersfield Giants' 671, more than double, and it showed in the line breaks: 11 to 0. Not close, not competitive, just one side repeatedly finding space the other couldn't defend. Thirty-three tackle busts to 16 and 12 offloads to 4 tell the same story from a different angle, Leeds Rhinos playing with width and support runners while Huddersfield Giants scrambled.

Discipline mattered too. Leeds Rhinos gave away just 3 penalties to Huddersfield Giants' 6, and while both sides put the ball on the ground plenty, 10 errors to 13 still favoured the home side. When you're already getting more of the ball and more metres, fewer errors just compounds the damage.

Form lines had this coming, even if not to this degree. Leeds Rhinos arrived on four wins from five, averaging 34 points scored and conceding under 17. Huddersfield Giants had one win in five and were shipping 32 a game. The forward and back pack ratings favoured Leeds Rhinos across the board, 848 to 782 up front and 889 to 821 in the backs, and that muscle turned into a running-metres gap too big to bridge. Huddersfield Giants' one edge on paper, the halves rating at 1000 to 854, simply didn't turn up on the field.

Alphr's model backed Leeds Rhinos at 83 percent and had them winning by 17.6 with a combined total of 49. The winner call was easy. The margin wasn't. A 52-point beating blew past anything the model had them down for, though the total of 52 landed close enough to that 49 projection to suggest the scoring rate wasn't the miss, the one-sided nature of it was. One from two on this one, and the sort of margin that makes you wonder if 17.6 was ever going to cover it.

**Key Match Stats**

| Leeds Rhinos | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| **1,504** | Run metres | 671 |
| **11** | Line breaks | 0 |
| **33** | Tackle busts | 16 |
| **12** | Offloads | 4 |
| **10** | Errors | 13 |
| **3** | Penalties conceded | 6 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Leeds Rhinos | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | 0 |
| 8/9 | Goals | 0/0 |
| 3 | Penalties Conceded | 6 |
| 10 | Errors | 13 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Leeds Rhinos to win at 83% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 17.6 but the actual margin was 52 points. Total score prediction of 49 was close to the actual 52, within 4 points. Leeds Rhinos led 24–0 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 52. The model went 1/2 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (21/100) — penalties Leeds Rhinos 3 · Huddersfield Giants 6.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 82.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 18 · Predicted total: 49

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Leeds Rhinos here: 83% to see off Huddersfield Giants. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Leeds Rhinos sit 356 ELO points clear, 1680 to 1324. Form leans Leeds Rhinos' way: 4 from their last 5, against 1 for Huddersfield Giants.

Leeds Rhinos own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Leeds Rhinos by 17.6, with the two sides combining for about 49. Leeds Rhinos to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Leeds Rhinos | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 34.0pts | Avg Score | 18.8pts |
| 16.8pts | Avg Conceded | 32.0pts |
| 17.2pts | Avg Margin | -13.2pts |
| 1460.4m | Run Metres | 1221.4m |
| 6.2 | Clean Breaks | 4.8 |
| 276.2 | Tackles | 321.0 |
| 9.2 | Errors | 10.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos | R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L | 34.0 |
| Huddersfield Giants | R7 W · R8 L · R9 L · R10 L · R11 L | 18.8 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Leeds Rhinos lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R8 | Huddersfield Giants | 22 – 56 | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants 54% ✗ |
| 2025 | R25 | Huddersfield Giants | 0 – 26 | Leeds Rhinos | not priced |
| 2025 | R8 | Leeds Rhinos | 28 – 6 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | — | Leeds Rhinos | 24 – 30 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 6 – 34 | Leeds Rhinos | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was wrong in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Leeds Rhinos' best path is the middle: Super League's 3rd-ranked middle attack (2.55 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 14th there (2.73 conceded/game). Key man: Croft, 13 tries in that channel this season.
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 8th-ranked middle attack (1.55 tries/game) runs at a Leeds Rhinos defence ranked 5th there (1.45 conceded/game). Key man: Flanagan, 5 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.55/g (att 12th (weak)) · concedes 0.91/g (def 7th) | 0.45/g (att 13th (weak)) · concedes 1.18/g (def 9th) |
| Middle | 2.55/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 1.45/g (def 5th (strong)) | 1.55/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.73/g (def 14th (weak)) |
| Right | 2.36/g (att 1st (strong)) · concedes 0.64/g (def 1st (strong)) | 1/g (att 8th) · concedes 1.18/g (def 8th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 9th |
| Defence rank | 3rd (strong) | 14th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 16 · 3 | 3 · 14 |
| Try Assists | 1.4/g | 1.1/g |
| Run Metres | 145m/g | 123m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 3.9/g | 3.5/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.1/g | 0.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 91.9% | 88% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 4th (strong) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 3rd (strong) | 8th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 28 · 19 | 23 · 25 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.8/g |
| Run Metres | 328m/g | 467m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 10.4/g | 14/g |
| Line Breaks | 2.5/g | 2.6/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 86.3% | 80.4% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 1st (strong) | 13th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 3rd (strong) | 1st (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 10 · 4 | 3 · 2 |
| Try Assists | 0.5/g | 0/g |
| Run Metres | 337m/g | 314m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 6.8/g | 6.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 1/g | 0.5/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 93.8% | 93.1% |

**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Halfbacks 0.34/g (lg 0.18) +89% · Five-Eighths 0.29/g (lg 0.2) +45% · Centres 0.69/g (lg 0.48) +44%
**Who scores on Leeds Rhinos** — Locks 0.08/g (lg 0.06) +33% · Fullbacks 0.21/g (lg 0.25) -16% · Halfbacks 0.15/g (lg 0.18) -17%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at AMT Headingley Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Leeds Rhinos** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fergus McCormack | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 2 | Maika Sivo | WG | 18 in 10g | 18/10g (2·4·3·0·3·0·1·1·3·1) | 1/1g | 12/5g | 80% | — | 🏉 48' |
| 3 | Harry Newman | CE | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/12g | 12/27g | 24% | — | 🏉 7' 57' |
| 4 | Ashley Handley | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 5 | Ryan Hall | WG | 6 in 10g | 6/10g (0·2·1·0·0·0·1·2·0·0) | 11/17g | 9/20g | 36% | — | 🏉 24' |
| 6 | Jake Connor | 5/8 | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/14g | 5/19g | 14% | — | — |
| 7 | Brodie Croft | HB | 13 in 10g | 13/10g (1·1·2·1·1·0·4·1·2·0) | 7/10g | 13/28g | 48% | — | 🏉 28' |
| 8 | Mikolaj Oledzki | PR | 0 in 7g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/16g | 1/24g | 4% | — | 🏉 5' 71' |
| 9 | Jarrod O'Connor | HK | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 2/12g | 1/31g | 6% | — | — |
| 10 | Cooper Jenkins | PR | 5 in 11g | 4/10g (0·2·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 0/3g | 2/18g | 17% | — | — |
| 11 | Christopher Hankinson | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 77' |
| 12 | James Mcdonnell | 2R | 4 in 10g | 4/10g (0·1·0·1·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 2/8g | 7/30g | 28% | — | 🏉 64' |
| 13 | Cameron Smith | LK | 1 in 10g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 3/12g | 4/24g | 12% | — | — |
| 13 | Cam Smith | LK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 14 | Danny Levi | INT | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/5g | 11% | — | — |
| 15 | Kallum Watkins | INT | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 6/21g | 4/17g | 16% | — | — |
| 16 | Keenan Palasia | INT | 1 in 10g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 1/19g | 7% | — | — |
| 17 | Presley Cassell | INT | 0 in 7g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 1/6g | 12% | — | — |

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niall Evalds | FB | 3 in 6g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·1) | 8/16g | 0/0g | 24% | — | — |
| 2 | Connor Carr | WG | 0 in 2g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 3 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 7 in 11g | 7/10g (0·1·0·1·1·2·1·1·0·0) | 1/3g | 0/1g | 48% | — | — |
| 4 | Lewis Jagger | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 5 | Lee Kershaw | WG | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/10g | 0/3g | 26% | — | — |
| 6 | Oliver Russell | 5/8 | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/14g | 0/3g | 6% | — | — |
| 6 | Olly Russell | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Tuimoala Lolohea | HB | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/13g | 0/1g | 16% | — | — |
| 7 | Tui Lolohea | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | Fenton Rogers | PR | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 1 in 10g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 5% | — | — |
| 10 | Chris Patolo | PR | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Harry Rushton | 2R | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/1g | 6% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Hewitt | 2R | 0 in 2g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/8g | 0/1g | 14% | — | — |
| 13 | Tristan Powell | LK | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 14 | Cole Geyer | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 15 | Matthew English | INT | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 1/3g | 0/0g | 17% | — | — |
| 16 | Mathieu Cozza | INT | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 17 | Joe Greenwood | INT | 0 in 2g | 2/10g (1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/15g | 0/2g | 12% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Leeds Rhinos 1680 · Huddersfield Giants 1324 · ELO difference: 356 in favour of Leeds Rhinos

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Leeds Rhinos |

**Model Confidence: 83%** — Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 18 points · Predicted total: 49 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)