# Castleford Tigers v St Helens — Super League Round 12 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v St Helens
Sun, 24 May, 12:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 12

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 67.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 67.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 67.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 10 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | St Helens |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 12.8pts | Avg Score | 28.4pts |
| 33.2pts | Avg Conceded | 16.8pts |
| -20.4pts | Avg Margin | 11.6pts |
| 1034.0m | Run Metres | 1382.4m |
| 2.8 | Clean Breaks | 5.0 |
| 331.6 | Tackles | 329.2 |
| 9.4 | Errors | 11.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R7 L · R8 W · R9 L · R10 L · R11 W | 12.8 |
| St Helens | R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 W | 28.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)