Wigan Warriors
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
60%
Leeds Rhinos
40%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors hold the advantage at 60% win probability, though Leeds Rhinos are far from out of this at 40%. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. Leeds Rhinos carry a 148-point ELO rating advantage (1730 vs 1582). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Wigan Warriors.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.67
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -0.9 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R6L R7L R8L R9L R10W older → newer | 19.6 |
Leeds Rhinos | R6W R7W R8W R9W R10W | 38.4 |
Avg Conceded
25.8
Wigan Warriors
16.4
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
-6.2
Wigan Warriors
22.0
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1154
Wigan Warriors
1422
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
4.6
Wigan Warriors
7.0
Leeds Rhinos
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leeds Rhinos hold the ELO advantage (1730 vs 1582), but the market favours Wigan Warriors (@1.67).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
60%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -0.9