Wakefield Trinity
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
82%
Catalans Dragons
18%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity are clear favourites here at 82%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wakefield Trinity carry a 106-point ELO rating advantage (1560 vs 1453). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 9.7 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.22
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity +9.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R6W R7W R8W R9L R10L older → newer | 29.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R6L R7W R8W R9L R10L | 22.6 |
Avg Conceded
16.8
Wakefield Trinity
30.2
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
12.4
Wakefield Trinity
-7.6
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1345
Wakefield Trinity
1106
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
7.2
Wakefield Trinity
4.6
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
82%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +9.7