# Wigan Warriors v Bradford Bulls — Super League Round 10 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Wigan Warriors 38 – 14 Bradford Bulls

_Wigan Warriors conquer Bradford Bulls._

Half time: 26 – 6 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Wigan Warriors 80% / Bradford Bulls 20% · The Brick Community Stadium · Sun, 03 May, 12:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Wigan Warriors: Zach Eckersley (4' 1st), Jai Field (12'), Noah Hodkinson (24'), Jai Field (26'), Brad O'Neill (39'), Noah Hodkinson (53'), Noah Hodkinson (75') · Bradford Bulls: Zac Fulton (31'), Ethan Ryan (67'), Ethan Ryan (78')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | 80% | Won |
| Bradford Bulls | 20% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 9.7 predicted → 24 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Wigan Warriors vs Bradford Bulls Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 10 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Wigan Warriors 38–14 Bradford Bulls in Super League Round 10 at The Brick Community Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Bradford Bulls arrived with the better numbers in a couple of key spots. Their backs rated higher than Wigan's, 855 to 713, and their hooker rating dwarfed Wigan's, 1456 to 1083. On paper, that's a side with the tools to trouble a stronger pack. None of it showed up on the scoreboard.

Give credit where it's due: Zac Fulton got the Bulls on the board in the 31st minute, and Ethan Ryan crossed twice late to put some respectability into the final margin. But the discipline was the story of their night. Bradford conceded eight penalties to Wigan's four, a gap that kept handing over field position and repeat sets they couldn't afford to give away against a side playing with this much ball in hand.

Wigan Warriors won it 38-14 at The Brick Community Stadium, and the scoreline undersells how comfortable it was for long stretches. They led 26-6 at half-time, built off a first-half blitz that had Bradford chasing shadows.

Zach Eckersley opened the scoring in the 4th minute, and Wigan barely let up from there. Jai Field crossed in the 12th, Adam Keighran's conversion made it 10-0 by the 13th, then Noah Hodkinson got the first of his three in the 24th minute. Field grabbed his second in the 26th, and with Keighran's boot again finding the mark, Wigan led 20-0 heading into the final ten minutes of the half. Fulton's try for Bradford in the 31st, converted by Chris Atkin, was the Bulls' only reply before Brad O'Neill crossed right on the stroke of half-time to push it to 26-6 at the break.

The second half didn't offer Bradford much of a way back. Hodkinson scored his second in the 53rd minute, converted by Keighran, to make it 32-6. Ryan got Bradford's second try in the 67th minute, but Hodkinson completed his hat-trick in the 75th and converted it himself for 38-10. Ryan's second try in the 78th minute was little more than a consolation, closing out the scoring at 38-14.

The stats sheet backs up what the scoreboard showed.

**Key Match Stats**

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| **1,161** | Run metres | 1,033 |
| **7** | Line breaks | 2 |
| **35** | Tackle busts | 16 |
| **8** | Offloads | 7 |
| **10** | Errors | 11 |
| **4** | Penalties conceded | 8 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | 3 |
| 5/7 | Goals | 1/3 |
| 4 | Penalties Conceded | 8 |
| 10 | Errors | 11 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Wigan Warriors to win at 80% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 9.7 but the actual margin was 24 points. Total score prediction of 49 was close to the actual 52, within 3 points. The model went 1/2 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (24/100) — penalties Wigan Warriors 4 · Bradford Bulls 8.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 79.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 49

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Wigan Warriors here: 80% to see off Bradford Bulls. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wigan Warriors sit 155 ELO points clear, 1561 to 1405.

Wigan Warriors own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. The margin model has Wigan Warriors by 9.7, with the two sides combining for about 49. Wigan Warriors to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 16.6pts | Avg Score | 18.0pts |
| 27.4pts | Avg Conceded | 35.6pts |
| -10.8pts | Avg Margin | -17.6pts |
| 1196.2m | Run Metres | 1115.8m |
| 4.0 | Clean Breaks | 3.4 |
| 345.8 | Tackles | 356.6 |
| 11.4 | Errors | 8.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | R5 W · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L | 16.6 |
| Bradford Bulls | R5 W · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L | 18.0 |

### H2H History (Last 1) — Wigan Warriors lead 1-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R23 | Bradford Bulls | 6 – 34 | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 70% ✓ |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Wigan Warriors' best path is the right edge: Super League's 2nd-ranked right edge attack (1.89 tries/game) runs at a Bradford Bulls defence ranked 10th there (1.44 conceded/game). Key man: Eckersley, 10 tries in that channel this season.
- Bradford Bulls' best path is the left edge: Super League's 3rd-ranked left edge attack (1.22 tries/game) runs at a Wigan Warriors defence ranked 3rd there (0.56 conceded/game). Key man: Blake, 5 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Wigan Warriors | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.67/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 0.56/g (def 3rd (strong)) | 1.22/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 1.22/g (def 10th) |
| Middle | 2/g (att 5th (strong)) · concedes 1.89/g (def 8th) | 1.22/g (att 12th (weak)) · concedes 2.11/g (def 9th) |
| Right | 1.89/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 0.89/g (def 3rd (strong)) | 0.89/g (att 10th) · concedes 1.44/g (def 10th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 3rd (strong) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 6th | 8th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 8 · 5 | 5 · 6 |
| Try Assists | 1.6/g | 1.2/g |
| Run Metres | 99m/g | 157m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5.7/g | 4.6/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.2/g | 0.9/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 79% | 92.2% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 7th |
| Defence rank | 4th (strong) | 10th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 27 · 16 | 19 · 21 |
| Try Assists | 1.9/g | 0.8/g |
| Run Metres | 557m/g | 520m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 13.9/g | 15.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 3.7/g | 2/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 79.9% | 83.1% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Wigan Warriors | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 10th | 9th |
| Defence rank | 6th | 13th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 4 | 4 · 9 |
| Try Assists | 0.2/g | 0.7/g |
| Run Metres | 432m/g | 279m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 8.2/g | 4.8/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.2/g | 0.9/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 93.2% | 94% |

**Who scores on Bradford Bulls** — Locks 0.33/g (lg 0.05) +560% · Five-Eighths 0.56/g (lg 0.2) +180% · Centres 1/g (lg 0.48) +108%
**Who scores on Wigan Warriors** — Props 0.15/g (lg 0.14) +7% · 2nd Rows 0.19/g (lg 0.27) -30% · Wingers 0.57/g (lg 0.97) -41%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Brick Community Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Wigan Warriors** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jai Field | FB | 5 in 6g | 7/10g (2·0·0·0·0·2·2·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 41/50g | 54% | — | 🏉 12' 26' |
| 2 | Zach Eckersley | WG | 10 in 9g | 11/10g (1·2·1·1·2·0·1·1·1·1) | 0/0g | 15/28g | 60% | — | 🏉 4' |
| 3 | Adam Keighran | CE | 4 in 9g | 4/10g (0·0·0·1·2·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 9/28g | 30% | — | — |
| 4 | Jake Wardle | CE | 1 in 2g | 3/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 21/43g | 38% | — | — |
| 5 | Noah Hodkinson | WG | 1 in 5g | 1/6g (0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/4g | 17% | — | 🏉 24' 53' 75' |
| 6 | George Marsden | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Jack Farrimond | HB | 2 in 7g | 7/10g (1·2·2·0·0·0·1·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 4/6g | 41% | — | — |
| 8 | Ethan Havard | PR | 0 in 8g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 6/49g | 4% | — | — |
| 8 | Joseph Havard | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 9 | Bradley O'neill | HK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 39' |
| 10 | Luke Thompson | PR | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/25g | 2% | — | — |
| 11 | Junior Nsemba | 2R | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 8/38g | 16% | — | — |
| 12 | Liam Farrell | 2R | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 22/66g | 10% | — | — |
| 13 | Oliver Partington | LK | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/29g | 0% | — | — |
| 14 | Kaide Ellis | INT | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 4/53g | 2% | — | — |
| 15 | Patrick Mago | INT | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/16g | 2% | — | — |
| 16 | Samuel Eseh | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Joshua Cartwright | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

**Bradford Bulls** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Aekins | FB | 2 in 9g | 2/9g (0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 22% | — | — |
| 2 | Gregory Eden | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 3 | Ed Chamberlain | CE | 0 in 8g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/9g | 0/3g | 2% | — | — |
| 4 | Guy Armitage | CE | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·1·0·1·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 2/2g | 0/1g | 32% | — | — |
| 5 | Ethan Ryan | WG | 4 in 8g | 5/10g (1·0·0·3·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 4/8g | 1/1g | 24% | — | 🏉 67' 78' |
| 6 | Ben McNamara | 5/8 | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/7g | 0/3g | 8% | — | — |
| 7 | Christopher Atkin | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | Brandon Douglas | PR | 1 in 4g | 1/4g (0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 25% | — | — |
| 9 | Mitch Souter | HK | 0 in 7g | 0/7g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Loghan Lewis | PR | 0 in 8g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Dan Russell | 2R | 0 in 3g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 12 | Zac Fulton | 2R | 1 in 7g | 1/7g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 14% | — | 🏉 31' |
| 13 | William Gardiner | LK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 14 | Andy Ackers | INT | 2 in 8g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/7g | 0/4g | 10% | — | — |
| 15 | Jamie Gill | INT | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | Sam Hallas | INT | 0 in 6g | 0/8g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | Samuel Hallas | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Eliot Peposhi | INT | 1 in 7g | 1/7g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Wigan Warriors 1561 · Bradford Bulls 1405 · ELO difference: 155 in favour of Wigan Warriors

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Bradford Bulls |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Wigan Warriors |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 80%** — Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 10 points · Predicted total: 49 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)