St Helens
York Knights
AI Win Probability
St Helens
76%
York Knights
24%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 76%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over York Knights. The model sees St Helens ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 228-point ELO rating advantage (1639 vs 1411). Recent form favours St Helens with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for York Knights. The margin model predicts St Helens by 7.6 points with a combined total of 54.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.31
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
St Helens +7.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R5W R6L R7W R8W R9W older → newer | 23.2 |
York Knights | R5L R6L R7L R8L R9W | 18.8 |
Avg Conceded
23.6
St Helens
23.0
York Knights
Avg Margin
-0.4
St Helens
-4.2
York Knights
Run Metres
1220
St Helens
1423
York Knights
Clean Breaks
4.2
St Helens
4.4
York Knights
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
76%
St Helens predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 54 · Line: +7.6