Leeds Rhinos
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
78%
Wakefield Trinity
22%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 127-point ELO rating advantage (1709 vs 1582). The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 15.1 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.28
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +15.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 13-24 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R5L R6W R7W R8W R9W older → newer | 33.6 |
Wakefield Trinity | R5W R6W R7W R8W R9L | 28.4 |
Avg Conceded
16.8
Leeds Rhinos
11.6
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
16.8
Leeds Rhinos
16.8
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1406
Leeds Rhinos
1396
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
6.2
Leeds Rhinos
7.0
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 15 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: +15.1