# Hull KR v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 10 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Hull KR v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 01 May, 05:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 10

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 82.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 82.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 82.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 19 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Hull KR | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 38.0pts | Avg Score | 16.0pts |
| 10.8pts | Avg Conceded | 39.6pts |
| 27.2pts | Avg Margin | -23.6pts |
| 1438.0m | Run Metres | 1010.2m |
| 6.4 | Clean Breaks | 3.4 |
| 314.2 | Tackles | 304.8 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Hull KR | R5 L · R6 W · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W | 38.0 |
| Castleford Tigers | R5 L · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W · R9 L | 16.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)