Warrington Wolves
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
39%
St Helens
61%
AI Match Overview
St Helens hold the advantage at 61% win probability, though Warrington Wolves are far from out of this at 39%. Warrington Wolves are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including Backline Quality, Halves Control and Venue Advantage, but St Helens counter with ELO Difference and Forward Pack which tips the scales. St Helens carry a 189-point ELO rating advantage (1574 vs 1385). Recent form favours St Helens with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts St Helens by 3.4 points with a combined total of 49.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.65
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
St Helens -3.4 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | L L L L L | 11.2 |
St Helens | W W L L L | 13.6 |
Avg Conceded
28.8
Warrington Wolves
20.8
St Helens
Avg Margin
-17.6
Warrington Wolves
-7.2
St Helens
Run Metres
702
Warrington Wolves
1041
St Helens
Clean Breaks
1.6
Warrington Wolves
2.6
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
61%
St Helens predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 49 · Line: -3.4