# Hull FC v Bradford Bulls — Super League Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Hull FC 27 – 20 Bradford Bulls

_Hull FC wear down Bradford Bulls._

Half time: 18 – 10 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Hull FC 78% / Bradford Bulls 22% · MKM Stadium · Sun, 15 Feb, 04:00 am AEDT

**Try Scorers** — Hull FC: Joe Batchelor (14'), Harvey Barron (23'), Davy Litten (31'), Cade Cust (78') · Bradford Bulls: Waqa Blake (5' 1st), Connor Wynne (18'), Connor Wynne (45')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Hull FC | 78% | Won |
| Bradford Bulls | 22% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 5.3 predicted → 7 actual · Markets hit: 2/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Hull FC vs Bradford Bulls Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 1 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Hull FC 27–20 Bradford Bulls in Super League Round 1 at MKM Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Hull FC held off Bradford Bulls 27–20 at MKM Stadium. Hull FC led 18–10 at half-time and held on.

Waqa Blake opened the scoring; Hull FC crossed through Joe Batchelor, Harvey Barron, Davy Litten and Cade Cust; Bradford Bulls scored through Waqa Blake and Connor Wynne (2).

Hull FC were the cleaner side with the ball, coughing it up just 5 times to 13. Hull FC held the discipline edge, conceding 8 penalties to 11.

**Key Match Stats**

| Hull FC | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| **1,212** | Run metres | 1,185 |
| 5 | Line breaks | 5 |
| 30 | Tackle busts | **49** |
| 5 | Offloads | **13** |
| **5** | Errors | 13 |
| **8** | Penalties conceded | 11 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Hull FC | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 3 |
| 5/5 | Goals | 4/5 |
| 1 | Field Goals | 0 |
| 8 | Penalties Conceded | 11 |
| 5 | Errors | 13 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Hull FC to win at 78% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Hull FC by 5.3 vs the actual margin of 7 points. A clean sweep, all 2 model picks hit for this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (31/100) — penalties Hull FC 8 · Bradford Bulls 11.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Hull FC to win — model probability 78.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull FC — model probability 78.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull FC 1-12 — model probability 78.4% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull FC by 5 · Predicted total: 38

### H2H History (Last 1) — Bradford Bulls lead 1-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R11 | Bradford Bulls | 16 – 14 | Hull FC | Bradford Bulls 60% ✓ |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

| Channel | Hull FC | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 1.52/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 0.74/g (def 6th) | — |
| Middle | 1.11/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.3/g (def 7th) | — |
| Right | 0.85/g (att 8th) · concedes 0.63/g (def 5th) | — |

**Who scores on Bradford Bulls** — Locks 0.26/g (lg 0.05) +420% · Five-Eighths 0.44/g (lg 0.2) +120% · Hookers 0.22/g (lg 0.11) +100%
**Who scores on Hull FC** — Fullbacks 0.31/g (lg 0.23) +35% · Five-Eighths 0.26/g (lg 0.2) +30% · Hookers 0.12/g (lg 0.11) +9%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at MKM Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Hull FC** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Pryce | FB | no games | 4/10g (1·0·0·1·0·0·0·2·0·0) | 0/0g | 3/7g | 28% | — | — |
| 1 | William Pryce | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 2 | Harvey Barron | WG | no games | 6/10g (0·0·0·0·2·1·0·0·1·2) | 0/0g | 14/23g | 42% | — | 🏉 23' |
| 3 | Zak Hardaker | CE | no games | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 3/15g | 18% | — | — |
| 4 | Davy Litten | CE | no games | 3/10g (0·0·0·2·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 4/17g | 21% | — | 🏉 31' |
| 5 | Lewis Martin | WG | no games | 13/10g (1·0·3·4·1·1·0·0·1·2) | 0/0g | 21/25g | 60% | — | — |
| 6 | Callum Kemp | 5/8 | no games | 0/3g (0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |
| 7 | Aidan Sezer | HB | no games | 3/10g (1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 1/12g | 14% | — | — |
| 8 | Liam Knight | PR | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/7g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | Amir Bourouh | HK | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/12g | 6% | — | — |
| 10 | Harvie Hill | PR | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/3g | 6% | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Batchelor | 2R | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/5g | 12% | — | 🏉 14' |
| 12 | Arthur Romano | 2R | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/2g | 16% | — | — |
| 13 | Yusuf Aydin | LK | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/23g | 2% | — | — |
| 14 | Cade Cust | INT | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/14g | 16% | — | 🏉 78' |
| 15 | Ligi Sao | INT | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/36g | 6% | — | — |
| 16 | Sam Lisone | INT | no games | 2/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 3/4g | 14% | — | — |
| 17 | Brad Fash | INT | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/40g | 2% | — | — |

**Bradford Bulls** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Aekins | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 2 | Jayden Okunbor | WG | no games | 1/7g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 14% | — | — |
| 3 | Esan Marsters | CE | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 3/3g | 22% | — | — |
| 4 | Waqa Blake | CE | no games | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 28% | — | 🏉 5' |
| 5 | Connor Wynne | WG | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 3/12g | 21% | — | 🏉 18' 45' |
| 6 | Rowan Milnes | 5/8 | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 3/4g | 18% | — | — |
| 7 | Joe Keyes | HB | no games | 1/5g (0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 8 | Loghan Lewis | PR | no games | 0/7g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | Andy Ackers | HK | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 4% | — | — |
| 10 | Ryan Sutton | PR | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 12% | — | — |
| 11 | Dan Russell | 2R | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 12 | Zac Fulton | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 13 | Joe Mellor | LK | no games | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/1g | 20% | — | — |
| 14 | Mitch Souter | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 15 | Eribe Doro | INT | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 4% | — | — |
| 16 | Ebon Scurr | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Ed Chamberlain | INT | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/14g | 2% | — | — |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)