# Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors — Super League Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors
Mon, 16 Feb, 02:00 am AEDT · The OneBore Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 67.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 67.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 67.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 15 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Wigan Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 13.2pts | Avg Score | 25.2pts |
| 38.8pts | Avg Conceded | 9.2pts |
| -25.6pts | Avg Margin | 16.0pts |
| 593.6m | Run Metres | 1202.4m |
| 2.4 | Clean Breaks | 4.2 |
| 209.8 | Tackles | 313.6 |
| 7.2 | Errors | 10.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R23 L · R24 L · R25 W · R26 L · R27 L | 13.2 |
| Wigan Warriors | R25 W · R26 W · R27 W · R29 W · R30 L | 25.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)