# Wigan Warriors v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 26 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Wigan Warriors v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 26

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 83.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 83.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 83.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 21 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 26.4pts | Avg Score | 9.6pts |
| 7.6pts | Avg Conceded | 41.2pts |
| 18.8pts | Avg Margin | -31.6pts |
| 1154.0m | Run Metres | 606.6m |
| 5.2 | Clean Breaks | 1.6 |
| 290.4 | Tackles | 222.0 |
| 8.4 | Errors | 7.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | R21 W · R22 L · R23 W · R24 W · R25 W | 26.4 |
| Castleford Tigers | R21 L · R22 L · R23 L · R24 L · R25 W | 9.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)