Leeds Rhinos
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
80%
Catalans Dragons
20%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 80%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Leeds Rhinos carry a 415-point ELO rating advantage (1742 vs 1327). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 13.9 points with a combined total of 39.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.04
Lost ✗
Edge
-16.2%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +13.9 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R21W R22W R23W R24W R25W older → newer | 34.8 |
Catalans Dragons | R21L R22L R23W R24L R25W | 17.4 |
Avg Conceded
5.2
Leeds Rhinos
21.6
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
29.6
Leeds Rhinos
-4.2
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1281
Leeds Rhinos
806
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
4.8
Leeds Rhinos
2.6
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
80%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 14 points
Predicted total: 39 · Line: +13.9