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Super League | Round 26

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ACCU STADIUM • SUNDAY 14 SEPT, 10:00 AM AEST
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HUD

Huddersfield Giants

228
SAL

Salford Red Devils

✅ Model correct — backed Huddersfield Giants at 78%

AI Win Probability

78%Huddersfield GiantsFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

78%

Salford Red Devils

22%

AI Match Overview

Huddersfield Giants are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. Salford Red Devils are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but Huddersfield Giants counter with ELO Difference and Recent Win Rate which tips the scales. Huddersfield Giants carry a 153-point ELO rating advantage (1326 vs 1173). Recent form favours Huddersfield Giants with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Huddersfield Giants by 16.3 points with a combined total of 41.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Huddersfield Giants to Win @1.15

Winner ✓

Edge

-9.2%

Line / Spread

Huddersfield Giants +16.3 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Huddersfield Giants 13-24 @3.30

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R21W
R22L
R23W
R24L
R25L

older → newer

9.4
Salford Red Devils
R21L
R22L
R23L
R24W
R25L
10.6

Avg Conceded

28.4

Huddersfield Giants

39.0

Salford Red Devils

Avg Margin

-19.0

Huddersfield Giants

-28.4

Salford Red Devils

Run Metres

825

Huddersfield Giants

434

Salford Red Devils

Clean Breaks

1.6

Huddersfield Giants

1.4

Salford Red Devils

H2H History (Last 5)Salford Red Devils lead 4-1
Apr 2025HUD 10 - 23 SAL
Feb 2024HUD 16 - 18 SAL
Aug 2024HUD 10 - 60 SAL
Jul 2024HUD 16 - 8 SAL
Aug 2023HUD 8 - 32 SAL
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1326Overall1173
SAL
ELO difference: +153 in favour of Huddersfield Giants

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

834Forwards1015
Best: 1049SAL +181Best: 1149
926Backs974
Best: 1099SAL +48Best: 1000
800Halves1079
Best: 800SAL +279Best: 1079
703Hooker843
SAL +140

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
SAL
2.0
Wins (Last 5)
1.0
9.4pts
Avg Score
10.6pts
28.4pts
Avg Conceded
39.0pts
-19.0pts
Avg Margin
-28.4pts
825.2m
Run Metres
433.6m
1.6
Clean Breaks
1.4
264.4
Tackles
180.0
6.8
Errors
3.8

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Giants
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Devils
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Devils
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Giants
5
Halves Control9.0%
Devils
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
Devils

Model Confidence

78%

Huddersfield Giants predicted to win by 16 points

Predicted total: 41 · Line: +16.3

3/4 match predictions correct