Warrington Wolves
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
42%
St Helens
58%
AI Match Overview
St Helens hold the advantage at 58% win probability, though Warrington Wolves are far from out of this at 42%. Warrington Wolves are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but St Helens counter with ELO Difference which tips the scales. St Helens carry a 49-point ELO rating advantage (1587 vs 1538).
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @2.36
Lost ✗
Edge
+15.2%
Line / Spread
St Helens -0.6 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R4L R5W R6W R7L R8L older → newer | 15.2 |
St Helens | R4L R5L R6W R7W R8L | 15.2 |
Avg Conceded
20.4
Warrington Wolves
17.0
St Helens
Avg Margin
-5.2
Warrington Wolves
-1.8
St Helens
Run Metres
732
Warrington Wolves
1122
St Helens
Clean Breaks
2.0
Warrington Wolves
3.6
St Helens
ELO–Market Disagreement
St Helens hold the ELO advantage (1587 vs 1538), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.74).
The model sides with ELO, St Helens predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
58%
St Helens predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 37 · Line: -0.6