Salford Red Devils
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
49%
Leigh Leopards
51%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Leigh Leopards a marginal 51% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Venue Advantage. Leigh Leopards carry a 262-point ELO rating advantage (1572 vs 1309). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 3.3 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.09
Winner ✓
Edge
-40.8%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -3.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R4L R5W R6L R7L R8L older → newer | 9.4 |
Leigh Leopards | R4D R5L R6L R7W R8W | 14.8 |
Avg Conceded
30.4
Salford Red Devils
22.4
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-21.0
Salford Red Devils
-7.6
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
763
Salford Red Devils
1286
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
2.0
Salford Red Devils
3.8
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
51%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: -3.3