Leeds Rhinos
Hull KR
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
49%
Hull KR
51%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Hull KR a marginal 51% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Hull KR carry a 186-point ELO rating advantage (1735 vs 1549). Recent form favours Hull KR with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leeds Rhinos. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 5.9 points with a combined total of 38.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @1.62
Winner ✓
Edge
-10.6%
Line / Spread
Hull KR -5.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R4L R5W R6L R7W R8W older → newer | 16.4 |
Hull KR | R4W R5W R6W R7L R8W | 28.0 |
Avg Conceded
8.6
Leeds Rhinos
11.2
Hull KR
Avg Margin
7.8
Leeds Rhinos
16.8
Hull KR
Run Metres
1102
Leeds Rhinos
1322
Hull KR
Clean Breaks
3.2
Leeds Rhinos
5.4
Hull KR
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
51%
Hull KR predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: -5.9