Catalans Dragons
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
67%
Wakefield Trinity
33%
AI Match Overview
Catalans Dragons are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Catalans Dragons carry a 28-point ELO rating advantage (1497 vs 1470). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 7.0 points with a combined total of 36.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Catalans Dragons to Win @1.35
Winner ✓
Edge
-7.0%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons +7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R4W R5W R6L R7W R8W older → newer | 25.2 |
Wakefield Trinity | R4W R5L R6W R7L R8W | 21.8 |
Avg Conceded
9.2
Catalans Dragons
16.8
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
16.0
Catalans Dragons
5.0
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
816
Catalans Dragons
1085
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
2.4
Catalans Dragons
4.0
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
67%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 36 · Line: +7.0