Wigan Warriors
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
81%
St Helens
19%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 81%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over St Helens. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 148-point ELO rating advantage (1752 vs 1604). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for St Helens. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 12.2 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.27
Winner ✓
Edge
+2.3%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +12.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R3W R4W R5L R6W R7W older → newer | 36.8 |
St Helens | R3W R4L R5L R6W R7W | 17.6 |
Avg Conceded
13.2
Wigan Warriors
13.4
St Helens
Avg Margin
23.6
Wigan Warriors
4.2
St Helens
Run Metres
1142
Wigan Warriors
1207
St Helens
Clean Breaks
7.2
Wigan Warriors
3.4
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
81%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +12.2