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Super League | Round 8

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AMT HEADINGLEY STADIUM • FRIDAY 18 APR, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
LEE

Leeds Rhinos

286
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Leeds Rhinos at 87%

AI Win Probability

87%Leeds RhinosFavourite

Leeds Rhinos

87%

Huddersfield Giants

13%

AI Match Overview

Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 87%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 245-point ELO rating advantage (1535 vs 1290). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 12.5 points with a combined total of 44.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.07

Winner ✓

Edge

-6.5%

Line / Spread

Leeds Rhinos +12.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Leeds Rhinos
R3W
R4L
R5W
R6L
R7W

older → newer

18.4
Huddersfield Giants
R3L
R4L
R5L
R6L
R7L
12.0

Avg Conceded

12.2

Leeds Rhinos

33.2

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

6.2

Leeds Rhinos

-21.2

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1134

Leeds Rhinos

666

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

3.2

Leeds Rhinos

2.6

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Leeds Rhinos lead 4-1
May 2026LEE 52 - 0 HUD
Apr 2026LEE 56 - 22 HUD
Sep 2025LEE 26 - 0 HUD
Feb 2024LEE 24 - 30 HUD
Jul 2024LEE 34 - 6 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

LEE
1535Overall1290
HUD
ELO difference: +245 in favour of Leeds Rhinos

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

873Forwards877
Best: 1141EvenBest: 1056
950Backs809
Best: 1099LEE +141Best: 949
1222Halves1047
Best: 1222LEE +176Best: 1047
879Hooker882
Even

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

LEE
Stat
HUD
3.0
Wins (Last 5)
0.0
18.4pts
Avg Score
12.0pts
12.2pts
Avg Conceded
33.2pts
6.2pts
Avg Margin
-21.2pts
1133.6m
Run Metres
666.2m
3.2
Clean Breaks
2.6
294.2
Tackles
238.0
8.8
Errors
7.0

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Rhinos
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Rhinos
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Rhinos
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Rhinos
5
Halves Control9.0%
Rhinos
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Rhinos
7
H2H History6.0%
Rhinos

Model Confidence

87%

Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 13 points

Predicted total: 44 · Line: +12.5

2/4 match predictions correct