Hull
Hull KR
AI Win Probability
Hull
78%
Hull KR
22%
AI Match Overview
Hull are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull KR. Hull KR are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control, but Hull counter with Backline Quality which tips the scales. Hull KR carry a 278-point ELO rating advantage (1725 vs 1447). The margin model predicts Hull KR by 7.7 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @1.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.8%
Line / Spread
Hull KR -7.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R3W R4D R5W R6W R7W older → newer | 20.2 |
Hull KR | R3W R4W R5W R6W R7L | 30.8 |
Avg Conceded
14.8
Hull
8.4
Hull KR
Avg Margin
5.4
Hull
22.4
Hull KR
Run Metres
1140
Hull
1263
Hull KR
Clean Breaks
3.4
Hull
5.8
Hull KR
ELO–Market Disagreement
Hull KR hold the ELO advantage (1725 vs 1447), but the market favours Hull (@1.30).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
Hull predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: -7.7