Catalans Dragons
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
71%
Salford Red Devils
29%
AI Match Overview
Catalans Dragons are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Catalans Dragons carry a 136-point ELO rating advantage (1472 vs 1336). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 10.1 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Catalans Dragons to Win @1.07
Winner ✓
Edge
-22.6%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons +10.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R3L R4W R5W R6L R7W older → newer | 18.8 |
Salford Red Devils | R3L R4L R5W R6L R7L | 7.4 |
Avg Conceded
14.0
Catalans Dragons
31.2
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
4.8
Catalans Dragons
-23.8
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
797
Catalans Dragons
723
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
1.8
Catalans Dragons
1.8
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +10.1