St Helens
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
St Helens
86%
Wakefield Trinity
14%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 86%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees St Helens ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 103-point ELO rating advantage (1584 vs 1480). Recent form favours St Helens with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts St Helens by 13.0 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.26
Winner ✓
Edge
+6.5%
Line / Spread
St Helens +13 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R2W R3W R4L R5L R6W older → newer | 21.6 |
Wakefield Trinity | R2L R3L R4W R5L R6W | 20.0 |
Avg Conceded
11.8
St Helens
17.2
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
9.8
St Helens
2.8
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1329
St Helens
1029
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
5.0
St Helens
3.0
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
86%
St Helens predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +13.0