Salford Red Devils
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
45%
Leeds Rhinos
55%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos hold the advantage at 55% win probability, though Salford Red Devils are far from out of this at 45%. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Leeds Rhinos carry a 147-point ELO rating advantage (1510 vs 1363). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 3.6 points with a combined total of 39.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.10
Winner ✓
Edge
-36.3%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -3.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R2L R3L R4L R5W R6L older → newer | 8.6 |
Leeds Rhinos | R2W R3W R4L R5W R6L | 19.2 |
Avg Conceded
32.0
Salford Red Devils
13.4
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
-23.4
Salford Red Devils
5.8
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
724
Salford Red Devils
1096
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
2.8
Salford Red Devils
2.8
Leeds Rhinos
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
55%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 39 · Line: -3.6