Hull KR
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Hull KR
62%
Wigan Warriors
38%
AI Match Overview
Hull KR hold the advantage at 62% win probability, though Wigan Warriors are far from out of this at 38%. Wigan Warriors are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but Hull KR counter with ELO Difference and Recent Win Rate which tips the scales. Hull KR carry a 48-point ELO rating advantage (1763 vs 1715). Recent form favours Hull KR with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 4 for Wigan Warriors. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 4.7 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @2.21
Lost ✗
Edge
+17.0%
Line / Spread
Hull KR +4.7 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull KR | R2W R3W R4W R5W R6W older → newer | 31.2 |
Wigan Warriors | R2W R3W R4W R5L R6W | 40.4 |
Avg Conceded
5.2
Hull KR
11.6
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
26.0
Hull KR
28.8
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1250
Hull KR
1170
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
6.2
Hull KR
7.8
Wigan Warriors
ELO–Market Disagreement
Hull KR hold the ELO advantage (1763 vs 1715), but the market favours Wigan Warriors (@1.83).
The model sides with ELO, Hull KR predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
62%
Hull KR predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +4.7