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Super League | Round 7

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JOHN SMITH'S STADIUM • SUNDAY 13 APR, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

1838
CAT

Catalans Dragons

✅ Model correct — backed Catalans Dragons at 57%

AI Win Probability

57%Catalans DragonsFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

43%

Catalans Dragons

57%

AI Match Overview

Catalans Dragons hold the advantage at 57% win probability, though Huddersfield Giants are far from out of this at 43%. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Catalans Dragons carry a 136-point ELO rating advantage (1449 vs 1313). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 1.7 points with a combined total of 39.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Catalans Dragons to Win @1.22

Winner ✓

Edge

-24.7%

Line / Spread

Catalans Dragons -1.7 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Under 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R2L
R3L
R4L
R5L
R6L

older → newer

10.4
Catalans Dragons
R2L
R3L
R4W
R5W
R6L
13.6

Avg Conceded

30.4

Huddersfield Giants

14.0

Catalans Dragons

Avg Margin

-20.0

Huddersfield Giants

-0.4

Catalans Dragons

Run Metres

664

Huddersfield Giants

812

Catalans Dragons

Clean Breaks

2.2

Huddersfield Giants

2.8

Catalans Dragons

H2H History (Last 5)Catalans Dragons lead 4-1
Mar 2026HUD 10 - 26 CAT
Aug 2025HUD 18 - 6 CAT
Jun 2025HUD 0 - 32 CAT
Aug 2024HUD 22 - 23 CAT
Jun 2024HUD 18 - 22 CAT
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1313Overall1449
CAT
ELO difference: -136 in favour of Catalans Dragons

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

788Forwards986
Best: 1000CAT +198Best: 1132
845Backs859
Best: 1000CAT +13Best: 1031
1001Halves1000
Best: 1001EvenBest: 1000
660Hooker1009
CAT +349

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
CAT
0.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
10.4pts
Avg Score
13.6pts
30.4pts
Avg Conceded
14.0pts
-20.0pts
Avg Margin
-0.4pts
664.4m
Run Metres
811.6m
2.2
Clean Breaks
2.8
242.6
Tackles
204.2
6.6
Errors
7.4

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Dragons
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Dragons
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Dragons
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Dragons
5
Halves Control9.0%
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%

Model Confidence

57%

Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 2 points

Predicted total: 39 · Line: -1.7

2/4 match predictions correct