# Castleford Tigers v Leigh Leopards — Super League Round 7 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Leigh Leopards
Sat, 12 Apr, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 7

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 57.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 57.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 57.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 4 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 14.0pts | Avg Score | 18.8pts |
| 29.6pts | Avg Conceded | 21.6pts |
| -15.6pts | Avg Margin | -2.8pts |
| 824.2m | Run Metres | 1184.6m |
| 3.6 | Clean Breaks | 4.2 |
| 190.4 | Tackles | 309.8 |
| 6.6 | Errors | 10.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R2 L · R3 L · R4 W · R5 L · R6 L | 14.0 |
| Leigh Leopards | R2 W · R3 W · R4 D · R5 L · R6 L | 18.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)